Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.44
- -0.63 before the first game, +0.81 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.89
- Oct 28 vs NYK · 26 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.77
- Dec 31 vs WAS · 39 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.17
- Last 20 games, vs 0.27 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.8 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 174th of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jrue Holiday, 2013-14.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday 2013-14 | 23 | +1.0 | +2.3, +2.4, +2.4, +3.6, +4.3 | 87 |
| Rashad McCants 2007-08 | 23 | +0.8 | 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| D'Angelo Russell 2018-19 | 23 | +0.6 | -0.9, -0.5, +0.6, +0.5, +0.8 | 86 |
| Kirk Hinrich 2004-05 | 24 | +0.4 | +1.0, +1.7, +0.6, +1.8, +0.7 | 85 |
| Lonzo Ball 2020-21 | 23 | +0.1 | +0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, +1.4, +0.5 | 85 |
| Rodney Stuckey 2009-10 | 23 | +0.3 | +0.2, -0.5, -1.9, -2.1, -1.1 | 85 |
| Tyus Jones 2019-20 | 24 | +0.2 | -1.7, +0.8, -0.2, -1.6, -1.4 | 85 |
| Tyreke Evans 2012-13 | 23 | +0.3 | -1.2, +1.1, +0.6, -1.2, +1.6 | 84 |
| Kyle Lowry 2009-10 | 24 | +0.9 | +2.1, +2.5, +1.5, +3.1, +2.4 | 84 |
| Rodrigue Beaubois 2011-12 | 24 | +0.3 | -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Ryan's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Ryan Rollins's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $22.9M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $4.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$18.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 5.4
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.4
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIL | 23 | 74 | 32.1 | +0.81 | +1.01 | -0.19 | 174th of 1100 |
| 2024-25 | MIL | 22 | 56 +3 | 14.6 | -0.59 | -0.80 | +0.21 | 314th of 813 |
| 2023-24 | MIL | 21 | 13 | 6.0 | +0.67 | -0.57 | +1.25 | — |
| 2022-23 | GSW | 20 | 12 | 5.2 | -2.03 | -1.81 | -0.22 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 31.6 projected minutes and a pace of 94.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 28.7 | 17.7 |
| Rebounds | 6.9 | 4.3 |
| Offensive | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 5.9 | 3.7 |
| Assists | 8.1 | 5.0 |
| Steals | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.6 | 6.5 |
| FG attempts | 23.7 | 14.6 |
| FT attempts | 4.4 | 2.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.4% · 36.7% · 79.2% | |
