Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.50
- -0.87 before the first game, -0.37 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.76
- Feb 26 vs DAL · 32 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.60
- Nov 7 vs OKC · 5 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.26
- Last 18 games, vs 0.22 in the first 18. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.4 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 426th of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Skylar Mays, 2020-21.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Mays 2020-21 | 23 | -0.4 | -1.2, under 10 games, -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Chris Quinn 2007-08 | 24 | 0.0 | +0.3, -0.9, -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Jerian Grant 2016-17 | 24 | +0.2 | -0.4, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Raul Neto 2015-16 | 23 | -1.0 | +0.2, -0.6, -0.5, -0.4, -0.7 | 87 |
| Ronnie Price 2006-07 | 23 | -1.0 | -0.2, -1.2, -1.5, -1.5, -1.1 | 87 |
| Travis Best 1996-97 | 24 | -0.4 | -0.7, -0.3, +2.2, +1.9, +0.9 | 87 |
| Frank Mason 2017-18 | 24 | -1.0 | -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Rodrigue Beaubois 2011-12 | 24 | +0.3 | -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Sundiata Gaines 2009-10 | 24 | -0.6 | 0.0, -0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Terence Davis 2020-21 | 24 | -0.8 | +0.1, +0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Devin's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Devin Carter's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $14.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $4.9M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$9.6M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.8
- Projected
- Retires at
- 25.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SAC | 24 | 38 | 18.4 | -0.37 | -0.56 | +0.18 | 426th of 1185 |
| 2024-25 | SAC | 23 | 36 | 11.0 | -1.02 | -1.52 | +0.49 | 532nd of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 13.3 projected minutes and a pace of 93.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.4 | 5.6 |
| Rebounds | 8.3 | 2.1 |
| Offensive | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 6.0 | 1.6 |
| Assists | 6.5 | 1.7 |
| Steals | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.2 | 2.1 |
| FG attempts | 18.8 | 4.9 |
| FT attempts | 6.3 | 1.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.1% · 29.8% · 67.8% | |
