Jared McCain
Age 22 · 6'3" · 195 lb
Pick #16, 2024 Draft · Rookie 2025 · 90 games · 15 playoff games
DPM · #364 of 530
-1.5Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.15
- -0.38 before the first game, -1.53 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.65
- May 5 vs LAL · 15 min
- Biggest drop
- -1.74
- Nov 4 vs CHI · 15 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.23
- Last 20 games, vs 0.34 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.5 at age 22 in 2025-26 ranks 513th of 813 age-22 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jaylen Nowell, 2020-21.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Nowell 2020-21 | 21 | -1.5 | -0.8, -2.2, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| JJ Redick 2006-07 | 22 | -1.4 | -1.7, -1.4, -0.4, -0.5, -0.5 | 89 |
| Miles Bridges 2019-20 | 21 | -1.6 | +0.2, +1.1, under 10 games, -0.8, -0.1 | 89 |
| Zach LaVine 2016-17 | 22 | -1.3 | -1.6, -0.2, +0.1, +1.4, +0.8 | 89 |
| Gary Trent Jr. 2020-21 | 22 | -2.1 | -0.2, -0.6, -0.8, +0.1, -2.6 | 88 |
| Evan Fournier 2014-15 | 22 | -1.0 | -0.4, -0.2, -0.3, -0.2, +0.1 | 87 |
| Wayne Ellington 2009-10 | 22 | -1.8 | -2.6, -1.4, -0.8, -0.9, -0.9 | 87 |
| Keyon Dooling 2002-03 | 22 | -1.8 | -2.2, -1.5, -1.2, -0.8, -0.3 | 86 |
| Kyle Kuzma 2017-18 | 22 | -1.7 | -0.7, -0.6, -1.3, -2.2, -0.8 | 86 |
| John Jenkins 2012-13 | 22 | -1.5 | -1.2, -0.1, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jared's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jared McCain's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $4.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $4.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$0.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 24.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | OKC | 22 | 67 +15 | 17.3 | -1.53 | -0.27 | -1.26 | 513th of 813 |
| 2024-25 | PHI | 21 | 23 | 25.7 | -0.68 | +0.97 | -1.64 | 202nd of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 7.5 projected minutes and a pace of 94.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.9 | 3.7 |
| Rebounds | 5.6 | 0.8 |
| Offensive | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| Assists | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 12.5 | 1.9 |
| FG attempts | 22.6 | 3.4 |
| FT attempts | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.5% · 35.2% · 82.0% | |