Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.76
- -1.19 before the first game, -0.42 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.53
- Feb 6 vs MEM · 21 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.35
- Mar 20 vs MIN · 24 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.16
- Last 17 games, vs 0.21 in the first 17. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.4 at age 22 in 2025-26 ranks 278th of 813 age-22 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Ben McLemore, 2014-15.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben McLemore 2014-15 | 22 | -0.6 | -0.3, -0.9, -2.4, -1.2, +0.2 | 89 |
| Elliot Williams 2011-12 | 22 | -0.4 | under 10 games, -1.6, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Beno Udrih 2004-05 | 22 | -0.5 | -1.3, -2.6, -1.2, -0.9, -0.2 | 88 |
| Jeremy Lamb 2013-14 | 22 | -0.2 | -0.8, +0.3, +0.1, +0.3, +0.8 | 88 |
| Joe Johnson 2003-04 | 22 | -0.5 | +1.5, -0.1, +0.3, +0.9, +1.5 | 87 |
| Corey Maggette 2001-02 | 22 | -0.5 | -0.7, +0.2, +0.6, +1.4, +1.2 | 87 |
| Jordan Farmar 2007-08 | 21 | -0.2 | -1.9, -1.2, -0.9, -1.7, under 10 games | 87 |
| Kirk Snyder 2005-06 | 22 | -1.0 | -0.4, -0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| JR Smith 2006-07 | 21 | -0.4 | +1.3, +2.3, +1.8, +1.9, +1.0 | 87 |
| Henry Walker 2009-10 | 22 | -0.2 | -0.3, -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, -0.5 | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Scoot's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Scoot Henderson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $14.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $10.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$3.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.4
- Projected
- Retires at
- 24.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | POR | 22 | 30 +5 | 24.9 | -0.42 | +0.15 | -0.57 | 278th of 813 |
| 2024-25 | POR | 21 | 66 | 26.6 | -1.35 | -0.36 | -0.99 | 305th of 571 |
| 2023-24 | POR | 20 | 62 | 28.5 | -2.10 | -0.57 | -1.53 | 249th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 15.1 projected minutes and a pace of 94.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.0 | 6.8 |
| Rebounds | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Offensive | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 3.9 | 1.2 |
| Assists | 5.1 | 1.5 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.7 | 1.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.0 | 3.0 |
| FG attempts | 19.9 | 5.9 |
| FT attempts | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.9% · 34.9% · 78.7% | |
