Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.28
- -0.07 before the first game, +0.22 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.47
- Apr 17 vs GSW · 40 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.37
- Apr 5 vs CHI · 36 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.18
- Last 18 games, vs 0.17 in the first 18. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.2 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 291st of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Evan Fournier, 2016-17.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Fournier 2016-17 | 24 | -0.2 | -0.3, -0.2, +0.1, +0.3, -0.9 | 88 |
| O.J. Mayo 2011-12 | 24 | 0.0 | -1.1, -3.0, -2.0, -2.0, under 10 games | 88 |
| Corey Maggette 2003-04 | 24 | +0.2 | +0.6, +1.4, +1.2, +1.3, -0.6 | 87 |
| Chase Budinger 2011-12 | 23 | +0.5 | -0.1, -0.5, -0.8, -0.6, under 10 games | 86 |
| Leandro Barbosa 2006-07 | 24 | +0.4 | -0.2, +0.3, -0.3, -0.9, -1.6 | 86 |
| Rashad McCants 2007-08 | 23 | +0.8 | 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| CJ Miles 2010-11 | 24 | +0.4 | +0.4, +0.5, +1.7, +1.9, -0.2 | 86 |
| Cuttino Mobley 1999-00 | 24 | +0.5 | +0.9, +0.7, +0.9, +1.1, +0.1 | 85 |
| Jason Richardson 2004-05 | 24 | +0.9 | +1.7, +1.2, +0.5, +0.3, +1.3 | 85 |
| Lou Williams 2010-11 | 24 | -0.4 | 0.0, -0.9, -2.0, -0.3, -1.7 | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jalen's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jalen Green's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $21.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $33.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$11.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 3.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 28.4
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PHX | 24 | 32 +4 | 25.9 | +0.22 | +1.31 | -1.09 | 291st of 1185 |
| 2024-25 | HOU | 23 | 82 +7 | 32.9 | +0.16 | +1.30 | -1.14 | 267th of 1100 |
| 2023-24 | HOU | 22 | 82 | 31.7 | +0.32 | +1.66 | -1.34 | 173rd of 813 |
| 2022-23 | HOU | 21 | 76 | 34.2 | -0.97 | +1.40 | -2.37 | 241st of 571 |
| 2021-22 | HOU | 20 | 67 | 31.9 | -1.74 | +0.48 | -2.22 | 203rd of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.8 projected minutes and a pace of 94.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 29.7 | 13.3 |
| Rebounds | 6.9 | 3.1 |
| Offensive | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 5.9 | 2.7 |
| Assists | 4.4 | 1.9 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 11.6 | 5.2 |
| FG attempts | 27.0 | 12.1 |
| FT attempts | 6.0 | 2.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.6% · 32.2% · 77.2% | |
