Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.40
- -1.60 before the first game, -1.20 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.55
- Feb 21 vs MIA · 27 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.49
- Nov 2 vs TOR · 26 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.13
- Last 20 games, vs 0.17 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.2 at age 22 in 2025-26 ranks 438th of 813 age-22 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Evan Fournier, 2014-15.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Fournier 2014-15 | 22 | -1.0 | -0.4, -0.2, -0.3, -0.2, +0.1 | 92 |
| Terrence Ross 2013-14 | 23 | -1.0 | -1.5, -0.5, -0.3, +0.1, +0.2 | 91 |
| JJ Redick 2006-07 | 22 | -1.4 | -1.7, -1.4, -0.4, -0.5, -0.5 | 91 |
| Khris Middleton 2013-14 | 22 | -0.9 | +2.0, +2.3, +2.8, +2.6, +3.1 | 90 |
| Zach LaVine 2016-17 | 22 | -1.3 | -1.6, -0.2, +0.1, +1.4, +0.8 | 89 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. 2017-18 | 22 | -1.3 | -0.7, +0.5, -2.0, -0.8, -1.0 | 89 |
| T.J. Warren 2015-16 | 22 | -1.0 | -1.2, -0.8, -1.2, +1.5, under 10 games | 89 |
| Chris Carr 1996-97 | 23 | -1.0 | -2.6, -2.9, -3.2, -2.1, under 10 games | 89 |
| Marco Belinelli 2008-09 | 23 | -1.5 | -0.5, +0.5, -0.8, -1.5, -0.8 | 88 |
| Tim Thomas 1999-00 | 23 | -1.3 | +1.1, +0.3, 0.0, -0.2, -0.7 | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jaylen's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jaylen Wells's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $4.9M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$3.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 22.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MEM | 22 | 69 | 26.4 | -1.20 | +0.05 | -1.24 | 438th of 813 |
| 2024-25 | MEM | 21 | 79 | 25.9 | -1.38 | -0.59 | -0.79 | 316th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 27.8 projected minutes and a pace of 95.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.5 | 13.0 |
| Rebounds | 6.1 | 3.3 |
| Offensive | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Assists | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.5 | 5.8 |
| FG attempts | 20.3 | 11.2 |
| FT attempts | 5.2 | 2.9 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.9% · 34.6% · 77.2% | |
