Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.05
- +0.11 before the first game, +0.16 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.78
- Nov 15 vs CLE · 25 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.59
- Dec 7 vs POR · 22 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.33
- Last 5 games, vs 0.47 in the first 5. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Sanders 2012-13 | 24 | +0.2 | +0.3, +0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Andrew Bogut 2008-09 | 24 | +0.6 | +2.6, +2.0, +0.6, +0.8, +2.5 | 86 |
| Roy Hibbert 2010-11 | 24 | 0.0 | +1.8, +3.0, +1.6, +0.8, -2.6 | 85 |
| Emeka Okafor 2006-07 | 24 | +0.3 | -0.8, +0.5, -0.7, +0.9, -0.1 | 85 |
| Kyle O'Quinn 2013-14 | 24 | -0.3 | +0.2, -0.7, -0.9, +0.7, -0.5 | 85 |
| Raef LaFrentz 1999-00 | 23 | -0.1 | +0.2, +0.5, 0.0, +0.5, +1.3 | 84 |
| Jakob Poeltl 2018-19 | 23 | +0.5 | +1.4, +1.8, +1.7, +2.2, +2.1 | 84 |
| Jared Sullinger 2015-16 | 24 | 0.0 | -0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Willie Cauley-Stein 2017-18 | 24 | -0.3 | +1.3, +0.8, +1.3, +1.3, under 10 games | 83 |
| Richaun Holmes 2017-18 | 24 | -0.1 | -0.2, +1.7, +1.4, +0.7, -0.6 | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Zach's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Zach Edey's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $10.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $6.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$4.6M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MEM | 23 | 11 | 25.8 | +0.16 | -1.20 | +1.36 | — |
| 2024-25 | MEM | 22 | 66 +4 | 21.4 | -0.36 | -1.31 | +0.96 | 267th of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 17.4 projected minutes and a pace of 94.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.5 | 7.0 |
| Rebounds | 17.6 | 6.0 |
| Offensive | 6.1 | 2.1 |
| Defensive | 11.4 | 3.9 |
| Assists | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Blocks | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 4.0 | 1.4 |
| FG attempts | 16.4 | 5.6 |
| FT attempts | 5.4 | 1.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 52.1% · 28.9% · 71.1% | |
