Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.35
- -1.65 before the first game, -3.00 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.21
- Jan 14 vs UTA · 23 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.25
- Jan 26 vs LAL · 12 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.11
- Last 20 games, vs 0.10 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-3.0 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 1121st of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Paul Zipser, 2017-18.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Zipser 2017-18 | 24 | -3.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Ben McLemore 2017-18 | 25 | -2.4 | -1.2, +0.2, -0.9, -2.7, under 10 games | 87 |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 2018-19 | 23 | -2.9 | -1.0, -1.5, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Jeffery Taylor 2013-14 | 24 | -3.2 | -3.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Ian Clark 2014-15 | 24 | -2.6 | -2.0, -1.1, -1.9, -2.3, under 10 games | 86 |
| Dwayne Bacon 2019-20 | 24 | -2.5 | -3.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| D.J. Wilson 2019-20 | 24 | -2.7 | -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Jared Cunningham 2015-16 | 24 | -2.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Orlando Johnson 2013-14 | 25 | -2.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Morris Almond 2008-09 | 24 | -2.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Patrick's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Patrick Williams's seasons, at the same age.
- Noa Essengue CHI like his 2020-21 91
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Patrick Williams's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$8.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $18.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$26.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 24.9
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CHI | 24 | 72 | 20.5 | -3.00 | -2.53 | -0.48 | 1121st of 1185 |
| 2024-25 | CHI | 23 | 63 | 25.0 | -1.64 | -1.23 | -0.41 | 719th of 1100 |
| 2023-24 | CHI | 22 | 43 | 27.3 | -0.55 | -0.95 | +0.40 | 305th of 813 |
| 2022-23 | CHI | 21 | 82 | 28.3 | -0.94 | -1.29 | +0.35 | 235th of 571 |
| 2021-22 | CHI | 20 | 17 +5 | 24.8 | -1.76 | -1.50 | -0.26 | — |
| 2020-21 | CHI | 19 | 71 | 27.9 | -1.88 | -1.72 | -0.15 | 67th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 13.4 projected minutes and a pace of 95.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.5 | 4.1 |
| Rebounds | 6.9 | 1.8 |
| Offensive | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| Assists | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Blocks | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.3 | 2.5 |
| FG attempts | 14.8 | 3.9 |
| FT attempts | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 38.1% · 34.8% · 72.7% | |
