Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.38
- -2.49 before the first game, -1.12 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.67
- Nov 24 vs POR · 3 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.41
- Oct 22 vs WAS · 2 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.12
- Last 16 games, vs 0.26 in the first 16. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.1 at age 33 in 2025-26 ranks 234th of 406 age-33 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: James Johnson, 2020-21.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Johnson 2020-21 | 34 | -1.1 | -1.9, -2.3, under 10 games, -3.4, under 10 games | 85 |
| Oliver Miller 2003-04 | 34 | -1.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Adrian Griffin 2007-08 | 33 | -1.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Bryon Russell 2004-05 | 34 | -0.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Scot Pollard 2007-08 | 33 | -0.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| George Lynch 2003-04 | 33 | -0.9 | -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Stacey Augmon 2001-02 | 33 | -0.3 | -1.0, -1.3, -2.2, -1.2, under 10 games | 82 |
| Corey Brewer 2018-19 | 33 | -0.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Lou Amundson 2015-16 | 33 | -2.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Ime Udoka 2010-11 | 33 | -1.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Thanasis's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Thanasis Antetokounmpo's seasons, at the same age.
- Alex Morales ORL like his 2019-20 86
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Thanasis Antetokounmpo's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $2.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.5
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIL | 33 | 34 | 4.4 | -1.12 | -2.64 | +1.52 | 234th of 406 |
| 2023-24 | MIL | 31 | 34 +2 | 4.6 | -2.66 | -2.86 | +0.20 | 573rd of 616 |
| 2022-23 | MIL | 30 | 37 +2 | 5.6 | -2.26 | -2.25 | -0.01 | 620th of 697 |
| 2021-22 | MIL | 29 | 48 +8 | 9.9 | -1.60 | -1.51 | -0.09 | 600th of 774 |
| 2020-21 | MIL | 29 | 57 +13 | 9.7 | -1.49 | -1.86 | +0.37 | 581st of 774 |
| 2019-20 | MIL | 28 | 20 | 6.4 | -2.02 | -1.66 | -0.35 | 746th of 858 |
| 2015-16 | NYK | 23 | 2 | 3.1 | -1.67 | -1.59 | -0.08 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 21.6 projected minutes and a pace of 97.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 12.8 | 5.6 |
| Rebounds | 10.7 | 4.7 |
| Offensive | 4.1 | 1.8 |
| Defensive | 6.7 | 2.9 |
| Assists | 4.5 | 2.0 |
| Steals | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| FG attempts | 9.8 | 4.3 |
| FT attempts | 5.5 | 2.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.3% · 22.4% · 52.3% | |
