Jose Alvarado
Age 28 · 6'0" · 179 lb
Rookie 2022 · 296 games · 24 playoff games
DPM · #160 of 530
+0.3Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.26
- +0.01 before the first game, +0.27 now
- Biggest boost
- +0.50
- Feb 11 vs PHI · 19 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.28
- Oct 24 vs SAS · 3 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 20 games, vs 0.13 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.1 at age 28 in 2025-26 ranks 354th of 858 age-28 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Rafer Alston, 2003-04.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston 2003-04 | 27 | +0.1 | +0.5, -0.9, +0.4, +0.4, -0.3 | 87 |
| Shabazz Napier 2018-19 | 27 | +0.4 | +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Eddie Gill 2005-06 | 27 | 0.0 | under 10 games, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Earl Watson 2006-07 | 27 | +0.5 | -1.1, -1.8, +0.1, +0.7, +0.7 | 85 |
| C.J. Watson 2011-12 | 28 | -0.6 | -0.2, -0.2, +0.3, -1.3, -2.3 | 85 |
| Aaron McKie 1999-00 | 27 | +0.3 | +1.5, +1.4, +1.4, +1.0, +0.5 | 85 |
| Fred Hoiberg 1999-00 | 27 | -0.3 | -0.3, -0.1, +0.3, +0.6, +1.4 | 84 |
| Carlos Delfino 2010-11 | 28 | -0.1 | -0.9, +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Tomas Satoransky 2019-20 | 28 | -0.4 | -0.1, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Erick Strickland 2000-01 | 27 | +0.8 | -1.2, -1.2, -0.1, -2.0, under 10 games | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jose's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jose Alvarado's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $4.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $4.5M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 4.4
- Projected
- Retires at
- 32.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | NYK | 28 | 69 +14 | 19.9 | +0.11 | -0.41 | +0.52 | 354th of 858 |
| 2024-25 | NOP | 27 | 56 | 24.4 | +0.29 | -0.06 | +0.35 | 319th of 924 |
| 2023-24 | NOP | 26 | 56 +4 | 18.4 | +0.48 | -0.39 | +0.87 | 299th of 1010 |
| 2022-23 | NOP | 25 | 61 | 21.5 | -0.37 | -0.55 | +0.18 | 449th of 1078 |
| 2021-22 | NOP | 24 | 54 +6 | 15.4 | -0.49 | -0.88 | +0.39 | 465th of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 9.3 projected minutes and a pace of 93.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.8 | 3.4 |
| Rebounds | 6.0 | 1.1 |
| Offensive | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 5.0 | 0.9 |
| Assists | 7.8 | 1.4 |
| Steals | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.6 | 1.9 |
| FG attempts | 18.8 | 3.4 |
| FT attempts | 2.3 | 0.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 35.6% · 33.2% · 76.3% | |