Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.93
- +1.94 before the first game, +0.01 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.29
- Jan 13 vs SAS · 26 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.33
- Jan 29 vs MIN · 25 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
0.0 at age 27 in 2025-26 ranks 367th of 924 age-27 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jae Crowder, 2017-18.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jae Crowder 2017-18 | 27 | -0.1 | +0.7, +0.4, +1.3, +1.5, +0.3 | 93 |
| Bobby Simmons 2007-08 | 27 | +0.1 | +0.9, +0.9, under 10 games, -1.1, under 10 games | 91 |
| Josh Richardson 2019-20 | 26 | -0.2 | -1.4, -0.2, -0.5, -2.6, under 10 games | 89 |
| Maurice Harkless 2019-20 | 26 | -0.3 | -0.4, 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| James Ennis III 2016-17 | 26 | +0.1 | -1.1, -0.4, -0.6, +0.1, under 10 games | 86 |
| Mickael Pietrus 2008-09 | 27 | +0.6 | 0.0, -1.5, -0.7, -1.2, under 10 games | 86 |
| Greg Buckner 2003-04 | 27 | -0.3 | +0.1, -0.1, -1.0, -2.2, -1.6 | 85 |
| DerMarr Johnson 2006-07 | 26 | -0.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Iman Shumpert 2016-17 | 26 | -0.6 | -0.7, -1.7, -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Mike Muscala 2018-19 | 27 | 0.0 | -0.6, -0.1, +1.1, +0.7, -1.5 | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Aaron's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Aaron Wiggins's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $5.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $10.1M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$4.6M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 28.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | OKC | 27 | 65 +13 | 21.8 | +0.01 | -0.63 | +0.64 | 367th of 924 |
| 2024-25 | OKC | 26 | 77 +22 | 22.7 | +1.91 | +1.54 | +0.37 | 118th of 1010 |
| 2023-24 | OKC | 25 | 78 +10 | 15.7 | +0.44 | +0.28 | +0.16 | 282nd of 1078 |
| 2022-23 | OKC | 24 | 70 | 18.5 | -0.96 | -0.73 | -0.23 | 619th of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | OKC | 23 | 50 | 24.2 | -1.87 | -1.11 | -0.77 | 795th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 4.1 projected minutes and a pace of 94.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.6 | 1.5 |
| Rebounds | 6.7 | 0.5 |
| Offensive | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Defensive | 5.3 | 0.4 |
| Assists | 3.0 | 0.2 |
| Steals | 1.8 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.5 | 0.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.4 | 0.7 |
| FG attempts | 17.3 | 1.4 |
| FT attempts | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.8% · 33.7% · 74.9% | |
