Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.17
- -0.12 before the first game, +0.05 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.35
- Mar 10 vs WAS · 24 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.29
- Nov 2 vs LAL · 32 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 20 games, vs 0.12 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
0.0 at age 27 in 2025-26 ranks 360th of 924 age-27 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Rafer Alston, 2003-04.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston 2003-04 | 27 | +0.1 | +0.5, -0.9, +0.4, +0.4, -0.3 | 87 |
| Raul Neto 2018-19 | 26 | -0.5 | -0.4, -0.7, -0.8, -1.7, under 10 games | 87 |
| Patrick Beverley 2014-15 | 26 | +0.2 | +1.3, +1.4, +1.0, +1.3, +1.6 | 85 |
| Tomas Satoransky 2018-19 | 27 | +0.2 | -0.4, -0.1, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| C.J. Watson 2011-12 | 28 | -0.6 | -0.2, -0.2, +0.3, -1.3, -2.3 | 85 |
| Cory Joseph 2018-19 | 27 | -0.3 | -0.1, -0.5, -1.8, -0.7, -1.1 | 84 |
| Aaron McKie 1999-00 | 27 | +0.3 | +1.5, +1.4, +1.4, +1.0, +0.5 | 84 |
| Travis Best 1998-99 | 26 | -0.3 | +2.2, +1.9, +0.9, -1.7, -0.9 | 84 |
| Steve Blake 2007-08 | 28 | 0.0 | +1.5, -0.6, -1.2, -1.0, -1.3 | 84 |
| Lee Mayberry 1997-98 | 27 | +0.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Davion's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Davion Mitchell's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $16.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $11.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$4.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 30.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIA | 27 | 70 | 28.6 | +0.05 | -0.24 | +0.29 | 360th of 924 |
| 2024-25 | MIA | 26 | 74 +4 | 27.4 | -0.08 | -0.43 | +0.36 | 413th of 1010 |
| 2023-24 | SAC | 25 | 72 | 15.3 | -1.71 | -0.60 | -1.12 | 809th of 1078 |
| 2022-23 | SAC | 24 | 80 +7 | 18.1 | -1.19 | -0.34 | -0.85 | 691st of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | SAC | 23 | 75 | 27.7 | -2.60 | -1.03 | -1.56 | 973rd of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 24.8 projected minutes and a pace of 94.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 17.9 | 8.7 |
| Rebounds | 4.8 | 2.4 |
| Offensive | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| Assists | 8.2 | 4.0 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 7.7 | 3.8 |
| FG attempts | 15.3 | 7.5 |
| FT attempts | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 45.5% · 34.6% · 67.7% | |
