Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.49
- -0.79 before the first game, +0.69 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.56
- Nov 13 vs IND · 23 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.48
- Nov 6 vs LAC · 11 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.08
- Last 20 games, vs 0.21 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.7 at age 27 in 2025-26 ranks 261st of 924 age-27 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Justin Holiday, 2016-17.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Holiday 2016-17 | 28 | +0.5 | 0.0, -0.6, +0.5, 0.0, -0.9 | 89 |
| Shabazz Napier 2017-18 | 26 | +0.3 | +0.4, +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| David Nwaba 2019-20 | 26 | +0.4 | +0.9, +1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Bobby Jackson 2000-01 | 28 | +0.5 | +1.0, +0.5, +1.0, +0.4, +0.8 | 85 |
| Eddie Gill 2005-06 | 27 | 0.0 | under 10 games, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Scott Padgett 2003-04 | 28 | +0.6 | +1.3, -0.5, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Matt Barnes 2006-07 | 27 | +0.4 | -0.1, -1.1, +1.1, +0.2, +0.5 | 84 |
| Dorian Finney-Smith 2019-20 | 27 | +0.3 | +0.7, +1.3, +0.4, +0.1, +1.0 | 84 |
| Courtney Lee 2012-13 | 27 | +0.1 | +0.4, -1.0, -0.1, -1.5, -1.9 | 84 |
| Aaron McKie 1999-00 | 27 | +0.3 | +1.5, +1.4, +1.4, +1.0, +0.5 | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jordan's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jordan Goodwin's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $19.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$16.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 30.4
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PHX | 27 | 70 +1 | 22.4 | +0.69 | -0.22 | +0.91 | 261st of 924 |
| 2024-25 | LAL | 26 | 29 +4 | 18.7 | -0.74 | -1.46 | +0.73 | 563rd of 1010 |
| 2023-24 | MEM | 25 | 57 | 18.5 | -1.20 | -1.64 | +0.44 | 682nd of 1078 |
| 2022-23 | WAS | 24 | 61 | 18.1 | -0.83 | -1.26 | +0.43 | 574th of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | WAS | 23 | 2 | 3.0 | -3.07 | -2.41 | -0.66 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.3 projected minutes and a pace of 94.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.2 | 8.8 |
| Rebounds | 10.3 | 4.5 |
| Offensive | 3.7 | 1.6 |
| Defensive | 6.5 | 2.9 |
| Assists | 4.1 | 1.8 |
| Steals | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.1 | 4.4 |
| FG attempts | 17.5 | 7.7 |
| FT attempts | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.8% · 34.3% · 69.1% | |
