Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.15
- -2.78 before the first game, -3.93 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.24
- Feb 9 vs POR · 18 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.35
- Mar 25 vs CHI · 5 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.15
- Last 8 games, vs 0.06 in the first 8. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry 2017-18 | 40 | -2.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 77 |
| Paul Pierce 2016-17 | 39 | -2.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 74 |
| Darrell Armstrong 2007-08 | 39 | -2.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 74 |
| Clifford Robinson 2005-06 | 39 | -3.8 | -5.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 73 |
| Kyle Korver 2019-20 | 39 | -2.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 69 |
| Grant Hill 2012-13 | 40 | -3.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 66 |
| Kurt Thomas 2012-13 | 40 | -2.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 55 |
| Herb Williams 1997-98 | 40 | -2.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 55 |
| Andre Miller 2015-16 | 40 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 55 |
| Kevin Willis 2002-03 | 40 | -4.6 | -5.0, -4.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 54 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Kyle's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Kyle Lowry's seasons, at the same age.
- Ryan Rollins MIL like his 2009-10 84
- De'Aaron Fox SAS like his 2013-14 83
- Tyrese Maxey PHI like his 2010-11 83
- Stephon Castle SAS like his 2007-08 81
- Tyrese Haliburton IND like his 2011-12 81
- Jalen Johnson ATL like his 2009-10 80
- Ty Jerome MEM like his 2013-14 78
- Josh Giddey CHI like his 2009-10 76
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Kyle Lowry's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$2.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$4.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 40.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | PHI | 40 | 14 +2 | 8.4 | -3.93 | -4.02 | +0.08 | — |
| 2024-25 | PHI | 39 | 35 | 18.8 | -2.23 | -2.88 | +0.65 | 29th of 47 |
| 2023-24 | PHI | 38 | 60 +6 | 28.2 | -1.22 | -1.82 | +0.60 | 32nd of 78 |
| 2022-23 | MIA | 37 | 55 +23 | 31.2 | +0.41 | -0.19 | +0.60 | 27th of 118 |
| 2021-22 | MIA | 36 | 63 +10 | 33.9 | +1.44 | +0.32 | +1.13 | 33rd of 189 |
| 2020-21 | TOR | 35 | 46 | 34.8 | +2.68 | +1.67 | +1.01 | 22nd of 243 |
| 2019-20 | TOR | 34 | 58 +11 | 36.2 | +4.63 | +2.37 | +2.26 | 14th of 336 |
| 2018-19 | TOR | 33 | 65 +24 | 34.0 | +4.27 | +1.97 | +2.29 | 14th of 406 |
| 2017-18 | TOR | 32 | 78 +10 | 32.2 | +4.19 | +2.69 | +1.50 | 17th of 530 |
| 2016-17 | TOR | 31 | 60 +8 | 37.4 | +5.48 | +3.81 | +1.67 | 10th of 616 |
| 2015-16 | TOR | 30 | 77 +20 | 37.0 | +5.31 | +3.41 | +1.90 | 15th of 697 |
| 2014-15 | TOR | 29 | 70 +4 | 34.5 | +2.37 | +1.50 | +0.87 | 83rd of 774 |
| 2013-14 | TOR | 28 | 79 +7 | 36.2 | +3.07 | +2.25 | +0.82 | 59th of 858 |
| 2012-13 | TOR | 27 | 68 | 29.7 | +1.53 | +0.59 | +0.94 | 155th of 924 |
| 2011-12 | HOU | 26 | 47 | 32.1 | +2.50 | +1.81 | +0.70 | 82nd of 1010 |
| 2010-11 | HOU | 25 | 75 | 34.2 | +2.14 | +1.74 | +0.39 | 102nd of 1078 |
| 2009-10 | HOU | 24 | 68 | 24.3 | +0.94 | +0.75 | +0.19 | 187th of 1185 |
| 2008-09 | HOU | 23 | 77 +13 | 21.8 | +0.47 | -0.40 | +0.87 | 214th of 1100 |
| 2007-08 | MEM | 22 | 82 | 25.5 | +1.20 | +1.04 | +0.16 | 78th of 813 |
| 2006-07 | MEM | 21 | 10 | 17.5 | +0.30 | -0.43 | +0.74 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections. It projects no minutes for Kyle Lowry right now, so there is no per-game line.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 11.5 | — |
| Rebounds | 5.2 | — |
| Offensive | 0.9 | — |
| Defensive | 4.3 | — |
| Assists | 5.7 | — |
| Steals | 1.7 | — |
| Blocks | 0.9 | — |
| Turnovers | 1.8 | — |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.1 | — |
| FG attempts | 10.3 | — |
| FT attempts | 2.7 | — |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 34.2% · 31.6% · 74.6% | |
