Reed Sheppard
Age 22 · 6'2" · 185 lb
Pick #3, 2024 Draft · Rookie 2025 · 134 games · 9 playoff games
DPM · #106 of 530
+0.9Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.50
- -0.65 before the first game, +0.86 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.73
- Apr 1 vs MIL · 37 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.87
- Jan 26 vs MEM · 15 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.23
- Last 20 games, vs 0.30 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.9 at age 21 in 2025-26 ranks 55th of 571 age-21 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Tyus Jones, 2017-18.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyus Jones 2017-18 | 21 | +0.9 | +0.1, +0.2, -1.7, +0.8, -0.2 | 83 |
| Marcus Smart 2015-16 | 22 | +0.7 | +0.8, +0.8, +0.9, +2.1, +1.8 | 83 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2019-20 | 22 | +0.9 | +0.9, +1.6, +2.3, +4.6, +6.1 | 83 |
| Devin Harris 2004-05 | 22 | +0.3 | -0.9, +0.9, +2.1, +2.6, +0.7 | 82 |
| Mike Conley 2008-09 | 21 | +0.6 | +0.8, +1.9, +3.2, +4.2, +3.9 | 81 |
| Brandon Jennings 2010-11 | 21 | +0.3 | +0.4, -1.4, -1.1, 0.0, -0.4 | 80 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 2014-15 | 22 | +0.2 | +1.1, -0.6, +0.9, -0.5, -0.2 | 79 |
| Leandro Barbosa 2003-04 | 21 | -0.2 | -0.7, -0.6, +0.4, -0.2, +0.3 | 79 |
| Bradley Beal 2014-15 | 21 | +0.2 | -0.1, +2.4, +2.2, +2.8, +2.4 | 79 |
| Jaylen Brown 2017-18 | 21 | +0.6 | +0.1, +1.3, +2.3, +3.8, +2.3 | 79 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Reed's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Reed Sheppard's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $25.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $10.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$15.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 6.3
- Projected
- Retires at
- 28.4
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | HOU | 21 | 82 +6 | 26.2 | +0.86 | +0.27 | +0.58 | 55th of 571 |
| 2024-25 | HOU | 20 | 52 +3 | 12.6 | -0.88 | -1.37 | +0.49 | 116th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 18.8 projected minutes and a pace of 94.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.8 | 8.4 |
| Rebounds | 5.3 | 1.9 |
| Offensive | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| Assists | 5.6 | 2.1 |
| Steals | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Turnovers | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 13.4 | 4.9 |
| FG attempts | 21.1 | 7.8 |
| FT attempts | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 39.7% · 34.4% · 79.9% | |