Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Buckner 2004-05 | 28 | +0.1 | -0.3, -0.9, -2.1, -1.2, under 10 games | 90 |
| Devean George 2005-06 | 28 | +0.6 | -1.0, -1.6, -2.6, -0.8, under 10 games | 89 |
| Trevor Ariza 2012-13 | 27 | -0.1 | +1.9, +1.3, +0.8, 0.0, +0.5 | 88 |
| Fred Hoiberg 1999-00 | 27 | -0.1 | +0.2, +0.3, +0.3, +0.7, +1.5 | 88 |
| Damion Lee 2020-21 | 28 | +0.3 | -0.6, -1.0, under 10 games, -1.0, under 10 games | 88 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 2020-21 | 28 | +0.5 | -1.4, +1.7, +2.1, +1.8, -0.6 | 88 |
| Maurice Harkless 2020-21 | 28 | -0.2 | -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| James Posey 2004-05 | 28 | -0.1 | +0.4, +0.3, -0.7, -1.3, -1.8 | 86 |
| Courtney Lee 2012-13 | 27 | +0.2 | +0.3, -0.6, 0.0, -1.5, -1.4 | 86 |
| Justin Holiday 2016-17 | 28 | +0.8 | +0.3, -1.0, +0.2, 0.0, -0.9 | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Herbert's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Herbert Jones's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- +0.4DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense +0.9 Per 100 possessions:14.9points5.9rebounds4.4assistsP/R/A100.0
- +0.5DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense +1.2 Per 100 possessions:16.5points5.2rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A91.1
- +0.4DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:17.8points10.2rebounds3.9assistsP/R/A89.6
- +0.5DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense +1.6 Per 100 possessions:13.2points7.3rebounds3.2assistsP/R/A88.7
- +0.8DPMDPM Offense -0.2 Defense +1.0 Per 100 possessions:21.8points6.7rebounds5.5assistsP/R/A87.9
- +0.2DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense +0.7 Per 100 possessions:13.4points5.2rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A87.8
- +0.1DPMDPM Offense 0.0 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:18.7points6.3rebounds5.6assistsP/R/A86.9
- -0.2DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense +0.8 Per 100 possessions:15.6points6.5rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A86.6
- 0.0DPMDPM Offense -0.3 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:17.3points8.6rebounds4.8assistsP/R/A86.2
- 0.0DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense +1.0 Per 100 possessions:16.1points7.8rebounds3.6assistsP/R/A86.1
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Herbert Jones's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $11.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $14.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$2.8M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 2.8
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 2.7
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 30.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | NOP | 28 | 1 | 16.9 | +0.27 | -0.70 | +0.97 | — |
| 2025-26 | NOP | 27 | 56 | 28.4 | +0.25 | -0.74 | +1.00 | 340th of 924 |
| 2024-25 | NOP | 26 | 20 | 32.4 | +0.89 | -0.37 | +1.27 | 239th of 1010 |
| 2023-24 | NOP | 25 | 76 +4 | 30.5 | +2.16 | +0.20 | +1.96 | 102nd of 1077 |
| 2022-23 | NOP | 24 | 66 | 29.6 | +0.80 | -0.61 | +1.41 | 219th of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | NOP | 23 | 78 +6 | 29.9 | +1.04 | -0.64 | +1.68 | 155th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 17.3 projected minutes and a pace of 100.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 14.9 | 5.4 |
| Rebounds | 5.9 | 2.2 |
| Offensive | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| Assists | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| Steals | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 7.5 | 2.7 |
| FG attempts | 13.2 | 4.8 |
| FT attempts | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.8% · 35.8% · 80.4% | |









