Collin Sexton
Age 27 · 6'1" · 190 lb · USA
Pick #8, 2018 Draft · Rookie 2019 · 482 games
DPM · #242 of 523
-0.4Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schroder 2020-21 | 27 | -0.3 | -1.9, -0.4, -1.2, -1.8, -2.5 | 88 |
| Leandro Barbosa 2009-10 | 27 | -0.3 | -0.8, -1.4, -1.9, -0.5, -1.8 | 87 |
| Raul Neto 2019-20 | 28 | -0.1 | -0.5, -1.0, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Buddy Hield 2019-20 | 27 | 0.0 | 0.0, -0.3, +0.2, +0.1, -0.3 | 86 |
| Reggie Jackson 2017-18 | 27 | -0.5 | +0.6, -0.1, +0.9, -0.3, -2.4 | 86 |
| Jerry Stackhouse 2002-03 | 28 | -0.5 | -1.3, -0.7, -1.8, -1.2, -2.0 | 86 |
| Chris Whitney 1998-99 | 27 | -0.4 | +1.0, -0.9, -0.7, -2.7, -2.4 | 86 |
| Trey Burke 2020-21 | 28 | -0.6 | -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Ricky Davis 2006-07 | 27 | -0.6 | -2.3, -3.1, -3.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Jeremy Lin 2015-16 | 27 | -0.3 | -0.3, under 10 games, -3.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Collin's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Collin Sexton's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -0.4DPMDPM Offense +0.4 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:29.0points5.2rebounds6.7assistsP/R/A100.0
- -0.3DPMDPM Offense +0.1 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:24.9points6.7rebounds6.8assistsP/R/A90.2
- -0.5DPMDPM Offense +0.3 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:25.8points8.7rebounds6.2assistsP/R/A88.5
- +0.2DPMDPM Offense +0.8 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:29.5points5.9rebounds7.7assistsP/R/A88.0
- -0.6DPMDPM Offense +0.6 Defense -1.2 Per 100 possessions:27.5points8.0rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A87.4
- -0.1DPMDPM Offense +1.1 Defense -1.2 Per 100 possessions:29.6points6.5rebounds6.0assistsP/R/A86.8
- -0.3DPMDPM Offense +0.8 Defense -1.1 Per 100 possessions:26.2points9.5rebounds4.7assistsP/R/A86.2
- -1.1DPMDPM Offense +0.3 Defense -1.4 Per 100 possessions:26.3points4.6rebounds8.7assistsP/R/A86.1
- -0.2DPMDPM Offense +0.6 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:26.0points6.0rebounds9.8assistsP/R/A86.1
- -0.5DPMDPM Offense +0.5 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:28.7points6.4rebounds3.3assistsP/R/A85.6
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Collin Sexton's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $11.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $9.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$2.0M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 1.7
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 4.1
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 32.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | LAL | 27 | 7 | 17.4 | -0.32 | +0.45 | -0.77 | — |
| 2025-26 | CHI | 27 | 68 | 23.7 | +0.06 | +0.75 | -0.69 | 380th of 924 |
| 2024-25 | UTA | 26 | 63 | 27.9 | +0.44 | +1.98 | -1.54 | 323rd of 1010 |
| 2023-24 | UTA | 25 | 78 | 26.6 | +0.61 | +2.46 | -1.85 | 257th of 1077 |
| 2022-23 | UTA | 24 | 48 | 23.9 | -1.01 | +0.83 | -1.84 | 672nd of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | CLE | 23 | 11 | 28.8 | -0.99 | +0.47 | -1.45 | — |
| 2020-21 | CLE | 22 | 60 | 35.2 | -0.58 | +1.11 | -1.70 | 321st of 813 |
| 2019-20 | CLE | 21 | 65 | 33.0 | -1.89 | +0.67 | -2.56 | 410th of 571 |
| 2018-19 | CLE | 20 | 82 | 31.8 | -2.18 | +0.11 | -2.29 | 246th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 17.1 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 98.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 29.0 | 10.2 |
| Rebounds | 5.2 | 1.8 |
| Offensive | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| Assists | 6.7 | 2.4 |
| Steals | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.7 | 3.4 |
| FG attempts | 22.3 | 7.8 |
| FT attempts | 6.2 | 2.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 46.1% · 38.3% · 84.4% | |