Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.80
- +0.12 before the first game, +0.92 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.65
- Dec 29 vs OKC · 10 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.70
- Dec 26 vs MIA · 11 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.17
- Last 20 games, vs 0.22 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.9 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 162nd of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: OG Anunoby, 2019-20.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OG Anunoby 2019-20 | 23 | +0.8 | +1.4, +1.0, +1.8, +2.8, +2.2 | 85 |
| Andre Roberson 2014-15 | 23 | +0.3 | +1.2, +1.8, +2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Draymond Green 2013-14 | 24 | +1.8 | +2.9, +4.5, +4.1, +3.8, +2.5 | 82 |
| Jae Crowder 2013-14 | 23 | +1.3 | +1.4, +2.0, +1.9, -0.1, +0.7 | 82 |
| Kyle Anderson 2016-17 | 23 | +0.4 | +2.0, +0.8, -0.1, +1.7, +0.6 | 82 |
| Jonathan Isaac 2019-20 | 22 | +1.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, +0.8, +2.8, +1.8 | 82 |
| De'Anthony Melton 2020-21 | 23 | +1.1 | +0.9, +1.1, +1.4, under 10 games, +0.8 | 81 |
| Iman Shumpert 2012-13 | 22 | +0.7 | +1.0, +1.0, +0.6, -0.6, -0.7 | 81 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. 2019-20 | 23 | +0.7 | -0.4, +0.8, +1.6, +0.7, +1.0 | 81 |
| Gerald Wallace 2004-05 | 22 | +1.0 | +1.3, +2.2, +2.5, +2.9, +2.6 | 80 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Mouhamed's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Mouhamed Gueye's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $6.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$4.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 3.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 27.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | ATL | 23 | 77 +6 | 15.3 | +0.92 | -1.10 | +2.02 | 162nd of 1100 |
| 2024-25 | ATL | 22 | 33 | 16.1 | -0.36 | -1.21 | +0.85 | 268th of 813 |
| 2023-24 | ATL | 21 | 6 | 12.1 | -2.70 | -2.22 | -0.47 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 3.0 projected minutes and a pace of 94.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 13.8 | 0.8 |
| Rebounds | 11.3 | 0.7 |
| Offensive | 3.5 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 7.8 | 0.5 |
| Assists | 2.6 | 0.2 |
| Steals | 2.3 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 1.7 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 1.8 | 0.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.6 | 0.4 |
| FG attempts | 12.0 | 0.7 |
| FT attempts | 2.9 | 0.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.0% · 30.4% · 66.7% | |
