Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.14
- +2.19 before the first game, +1.05 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.20
- Oct 22 vs NOP · 29 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.25
- Nov 9 vs OKC · 34 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.11
- Last 10 games, vs 0.11 in the first 10. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.1 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 214th of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Devin Harris, 2009-10.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Harris 2009-10 | 27 | +0.7 | +0.2, +0.3, +1.2, +2.1, +1.0 | 85 |
| Deron Williams 2010-11 | 26 | +1.3 | +0.7, +1.9, +2.5, +1.8, +0.3 | 84 |
| Tyreke Evans 2015-16 | 26 | +0.6 | -1.2, +1.6, -0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Reggie Jackson 2015-16 | 26 | +1.3 | -0.6, -0.1, +0.7, +0.3, +1.0 | 83 |
| Tony Parker 2007-08 | 26 | +1.7 | +2.3, +1.0, +0.8, +1.7, +1.8 | 83 |
| Derrick Rose 2014-15 | 26 | +0.9 | -0.7, -0.8, -1.9, -1.0, -0.1 | 82 |
| Goran Dragic 2012-13 | 26 | +1.3 | +2.8, +0.5, +1.1, +1.5, +1.1 | 82 |
| T.J. Ford 2008-09 | 26 | +0.7 | -1.1, -0.9, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Caris LeVert 2019-20 | 25 | +1.0 | -0.5, -1.5, -0.9, -0.3, -0.5 | 80 |
| Ty Lawson 2013-14 | 26 | +1.8 | +1.8, -2.6, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Ja's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Ja Morant's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $19.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $39.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$20.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MEM | 26 | 20 | 28.4 | +1.05 | +1.59 | -0.54 | 214th of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | MEM | 25 | 50 +3 | 30.4 | +2.30 | +2.85 | -0.55 | 89th of 1078 |
| 2023-24 | MEM | 24 | 9 | 35.3 | +1.99 | +2.35 | -0.36 | — |
| 2022-23 | MEM | 23 | 61 +5 | 31.9 | +2.18 | +2.91 | -0.73 | 53rd of 1100 |
| 2021-22 | MEM | 22 | 57 +9 | 33.1 | +2.46 | +3.78 | -1.32 | 29th of 813 |
| 2020-21 | MEM | 21 | 63 +5 | 32.6 | -0.50 | +1.19 | -1.70 | 182nd of 571 |
| 2019-20 | MEM | 21 | 67 | 31.0 | -0.96 | +0.38 | -1.34 | 240th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 25.5 projected minutes and a pace of 95.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 28.3 | 14.3 |
| Rebounds | 6.0 | 3.0 |
| Offensive | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| Assists | 10.6 | 5.4 |
| Steals | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 4.5 | 2.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.8 | 3.5 |
| FG attempts | 22.4 | 11.3 |
| FT attempts | 7.8 | 3.9 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.4% · 30.5% · 81.2% | |
