Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.48
- -1.84 before the first game, -2.32 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.27
- Oct 26 vs WAS · 2 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.19
- Apr 5 vs MIN · 3 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.06
- Last 20 games, vs 0.08 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.3 at age 33 in 2025-26 ranks 333rd of 406 age-33 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Wilson Chandler, 2019-20.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson Chandler 2019-20 | 32 | -2.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Rodney Rogers 2004-05 | 33 | -2.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Willie Green 2014-15 | 33 | -2.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| James Posey 2009-10 | 33 | -1.6 | -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Rasual Butler 2011-12 | 32 | -2.8 | under 10 games, -3.6, -3.3, -2.3, under 10 games | 87 |
| Randy Foye 2016-17 | 33 | -1.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Lamond Murray 2005-06 | 33 | -2.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| James Jones 2012-13 | 32 | -1.8 | -0.4, -2.3, -3.0, -4.4, under 10 games | 86 |
| Ira Newble 2007-08 | 33 | -2.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Richard Jefferson 2013-14 | 33 | -2.1 | -1.5, -2.8, -2.5, -3.7, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Pat's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Pat Connaughton's seasons, at the same age.
- Max Shulga BOS like his 2015-16 94
- Dillon Jones NYK like his 2016-17 93
- David Roddy DEN like his 2016-17 90
- Andre Jackson Jr. MIL like his 2016-17 89
- Chris Youngblood POR like his 2016-17 89
- Jamison Battle TOR like his 2016-17 89
- Vit Krejci POR like his 2018-19 89
- Koby Brea PHX like his 2015-16 88
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Pat Connaughton's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$0.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $10.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$11.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 33.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CHA | 33 | 42 | 7.1 | -2.32 | -2.27 | -0.05 | 333rd of 406 |
| 2024-25 | MIL | 32 | 42 +3 | 14.7 | -1.61 | -1.31 | -0.30 | 382nd of 530 |
| 2023-24 | MIL | 31 | 76 +6 | 22.1 | -1.12 | -1.12 | 0.00 | 393rd of 616 |
| 2022-23 | MIL | 30 | 61 +4 | 23.7 | -0.45 | -0.63 | +0.18 | 366th of 697 |
| 2021-22 | MIL | 29 | 65 +12 | 26.0 | -0.10 | +0.40 | -0.50 | 356th of 774 |
| 2020-21 | MIL | 28 | 69 +23 | 22.8 | -0.08 | -0.33 | +0.25 | 381st of 858 |
| 2019-20 | MIL | 27 | 67 +10 | 18.5 | -0.76 | -0.81 | +0.05 | 535th of 924 |
| 2018-19 | MIL | 26 | 61 +15 | 20.7 | -0.52 | -0.49 | -0.03 | 513th of 1010 |
| 2017-18 | POR | 25 | 82 +4 | 18.1 | -1.26 | -1.04 | -0.22 | 705th of 1078 |
| 2016-17 | POR | 24 | 39 +3 | 8.1 | -1.66 | -1.16 | -0.51 | 841st of 1185 |
| 2015-16 | POR | 23 | 34 +6 | 4.2 | -2.38 | -1.65 | -0.72 | 923rd of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections. It projects no minutes for Pat Connaughton right now, so there is no per-game line.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.0 | — |
| Rebounds | 9.6 | — |
| Offensive | 2.1 | — |
| Defensive | 7.5 | — |
| Assists | 3.4 | — |
| Steals | 1.3 | — |
| Blocks | 0.5 | — |
| Turnovers | 1.6 | — |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.7 | — |
| FG attempts | 13.5 | — |
| FT attempts | 2.8 | — |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.7% · 33.2% · 68.8% | |
