Doug McDermott
Age 34 · 6'8" · 225 lb · USA
Pick #11, 2014 Draft · Rookie 2015 · 726 games · 25 playoff games
DPM · #423 of 530
-1.9Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.16
- -2.05 before the first game, -1.90 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.34
- Feb 21 vs SAS · 5 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.28
- Feb 11 vs UTA · 19 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.10
- Last 14 games, vs 0.11 in the first 14. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.9 at age 34 in 2025-26 ranks 237th of 336 age-34 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Garrett Temple, 2019-20.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Temple 2019-20 | 34 | -1.6 | -1.1, -3.8, -3.8, -2.8, -2.8 | 89 |
| Richard Jefferson 2014-15 | 34 | -1.5 | -2.8, -2.5, -3.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| James Jones 2014-15 | 34 | -2.3 | -3.0, -4.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Courtney Lee 2019-20 | 34 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Randy Foye 2016-17 | 33 | -1.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Willie Green 2014-15 | 33 | -2.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| James Posey 2010-11 | 34 | -2.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Caron Butler 2013-14 | 34 | -2.0 | -1.9, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Wesley Person 2004-05 | 34 | -1.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Raymond Felton 2018-19 | 34 | -2.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Doug's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Doug McDermott's seasons, at the same age.
- Svi Mykhailiuk UTA like his 2019-20 88
- Keldon Johnson SAS like his 2018-19 86
- Jett Howard ORL like his 2014-15 85
- Jordan Hawkins NOP like his 2014-15 85
- Caleb Love POR like his 2015-16 83
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Doug McDermott's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $0.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$1.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SAC | 34 | 29 | 15.1 | -1.90 | -1.22 | -0.68 | 237th of 336 |
| 2024-25 | SAC | 33 | 42 | 8.1 | -2.08 | -0.79 | -1.29 | 322nd of 406 |
| 2023-24 | IND | 32 | 64 +10 | 14.1 | -1.93 | -0.35 | -1.58 | 412th of 530 |
| 2022-23 | SAS | 31 | 64 | 20.5 | -2.24 | -0.74 | -1.50 | 533rd of 616 |
| 2021-22 | SAS | 30 | 51 | 24.0 | -0.93 | +0.33 | -1.26 | 449th of 697 |
| 2020-21 | IND | 29 | 66 | 24.5 | -0.54 | +0.40 | -0.94 | 423rd of 774 |
| 2019-20 | IND | 28 | 69 +4 | 19.9 | -0.54 | +0.22 | -0.76 | 472nd of 858 |
| 2018-19 | IND | 27 | 77 +3 | 17.4 | -0.71 | -0.14 | -0.57 | 522nd of 924 |
| 2017-18 | DAL | 26 | 81 | 21.8 | -1.01 | -0.44 | -0.57 | 638th of 1010 |
| 2016-17 | OKC | 25 | 66 +5 | 22.8 | -2.39 | -0.44 | -1.95 | 949th of 1078 |
| 2015-16 | CHI | 24 | 81 | 23.0 | -2.70 | -0.63 | -2.08 | 1086th of 1185 |
| 2014-15 | CHI | 23 | 36 +3 | 8.9 | -2.98 | -1.22 | -1.76 | 1038th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 0.3 projected minutes and a pace of 94.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.8 | 0.1 |
| Rebounds | 4.7 | 0.0 |
| Offensive | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| Defensive | 3.8 | 0.0 |
| Assists | 2.1 | 0.0 |
| Steals | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 12.5 | 0.1 |
| FG attempts | 14.0 | 0.1 |
| FT attempts | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 38.5% · 35.7% · 74.7% | |