Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.62
- +0.78 before the first game, +0.16 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.30
- Nov 14 vs SAS · 16 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.35
- Jan 26 vs MIN · 12 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 20 games, vs 0.10 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.2 at age 33 in 2025-26 ranks 117th of 406 age-33 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Rudy Gay, 2018-19.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay 2018-19 | 32 | +0.2 | -0.2, +0.1, -0.5, -1.7, under 10 games | 86 |
| Anthony Parker 2008-09 | 33 | 0.0 | +0.3, -0.7, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Rick Fox 2001-02 | 32 | 0.0 | -0.1, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Ruben Patterson 2007-08 | 32 | -0.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Bobby Jackson 2006-07 | 34 | 0.0 | 0.0, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Shawn Marion 2010-11 | 33 | +0.7 | +0.5, 0.0, -0.4, -1.4, under 10 games | 85 |
| Boris Diaw 2014-15 | 33 | -0.1 | -0.4, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Eduardo Najera 2008-09 | 32 | +0.2 | -0.3, -0.4, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| John Starks 1997-98 | 32 | 0.0 | -0.6, -1.0, -1.4, -2.5, under 10 games | 83 |
| Taj Gibson 2018-19 | 33 | -0.2 | -2.3, -0.6, +0.3, -1.7, -2.0 | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Gary's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Gary Payton II's seasons, at the same age.
- Kevin McCullar Jr. NYK like his 2017-18 89
- RayJ Dennis ATL like his 2017-18 88
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Gary Payton II's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $10.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$8.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.4
- Projected
- Retires at
- 34.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | GSW | 33 | 73 | 15.6 | +0.16 | -0.16 | +0.31 | 117th of 406 |
| 2024-25 | GSW | 32 | 62 +11 | 15.0 | +0.98 | +0.22 | +0.75 | 123rd of 530 |
| 2023-24 | GSW | 31 | 44 | 15.5 | +0.77 | -0.56 | +1.33 | 169th of 616 |
| 2022-23 | GSW | 30 | 22 +12 | 16.8 | +0.74 | -0.51 | +1.25 | 204th of 697 |
| 2021-22 | GSW | 29 | 71 +12 | 17.6 | +1.66 | -0.08 | +1.74 | 131st of 774 |
| 2020-21 | GSW | 28 | 10 | 4.0 | -0.31 | -1.38 | +1.07 | — |
| 2019-20 | WAS | 27 | 29 | 14.9 | -0.99 | -1.50 | +0.51 | 592nd of 924 |
| 2018-19 | WAS | 26 | 3 | 5.3 | -0.62 | -0.55 | -0.07 | — |
| 2017-18 | LAL | 25 | 23 | 9.6 | -2.04 | -1.86 | -0.17 | 898th of 1078 |
| 2016-17 | MIL | 24 | 6 | 16.5 | -1.74 | -1.78 | +0.04 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 11.8 projected minutes and a pace of 93.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.5 | 4.5 |
| Rebounds | 10.1 | 2.3 |
| Offensive | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| Defensive | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| Assists | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| Steals | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 4.7 | 1.1 |
| FG attempts | 16.0 | 3.7 |
| FT attempts | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 55.4% · 31.9% · 66.0% | |
