Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace 2012-13 | 38 | -1.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Vince Carter 2014-15 | 38 | -1.1 | -1.8, -0.6, -1.9, -2.5, -3.7 | 78 |
| Sam Perkins 1999-00 | 39 | +0.5 | -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 75 |
| Kyle Korver 2018-19 | 38 | -0.9 | -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 75 |
| Derek Fisher 2012-13 | 38 | -0.8 | -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 74 |
| Paul Pierce 2015-16 | 38 | -1.7 | -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 74 |
| Horace Grant 2003-04 | 38 | -1.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 74 |
| Shaquille O'Neal 2009-10 | 38 | +0.3 | +1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 73 |
| Jerome Kersey 1999-00 | 37 | -0.6 | -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 71 |
| Dan Schayes 1997-98 | 38 | -1.1 | -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 71 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Brook's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Brook Lopez's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -0.6DPMDPM Offense -2.0 Defense +1.4 Per 100 possessions:21.8points9.4rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A100.0
- -1.0DPMDPM Offense -1.7 Defense +0.7 Per 100 possessions:16.3points10.7rebounds4.4assistsP/R/A82.4
- -1.7DPMDPM Offense -1.9 Defense +0.2 Per 100 possessions:21.4points13.9rebounds5.1assistsP/R/A73.9
- -1.2DPMDPM Offense -2.3 Defense +1.1 Per 100 possessions:13.0points7.2rebounds2.7assistsP/R/A72.4
- -0.5DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense +0.6 Per 100 possessions:14.8points5.1rebounds3.5assistsP/R/A72.3
- +0.1DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense +1.2 Per 100 possessions:19.6points10.0rebounds2.9assistsP/R/A72.0
- -0.3DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense +0.3 Per 100 possessions:19.7points9.1rebounds3.9assistsP/R/A70.9
- -1.2DPMDPM Offense -1.8 Defense +0.6 Per 100 possessions:13.5points4.7rebounds7.7assistsP/R/A70.0
- -1.1DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense -0.1 Per 100 possessions:22.2points5.4rebounds3.5assistsP/R/A69.2
- -1.5DPMDPM Offense -1.9 Defense +0.4 Per 100 possessions:16.6points8.0rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A69.1
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Brook Lopez's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $8.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $9.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.8M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 2.0
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 0.8
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 39.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | LAC | 38 | 8 | 23.5 | -0.60 | -2.11 | +1.50 | — |
| 2025-26 | LAC | 38 | 75 | 21.8 | -0.48 | -1.94 | +1.46 | 24th of 78 |
| 2024-25 | MIL | 37 | 80 +5 | 31.8 | +1.12 | -1.34 | +2.47 | 21st of 118 |
| 2023-24 | MIL | 36 | 79 +6 | 30.5 | +1.78 | -0.77 | +2.55 | 27th of 189 |
| 2022-23 | MIL | 35 | 78 +5 | 30.4 | +2.28 | -0.59 | +2.86 | 28th of 243 |
| 2021-22 | MIL | 34 | 13 +12 | 23.0 | +1.79 | -0.56 | +2.36 | — |
| 2020-21 | MIL | 33 | 70 +23 | 27.2 | +2.71 | +0.23 | +2.48 | 32nd of 405 |
| 2019-20 | MIL | 32 | 68 +10 | 26.7 | +2.94 | -0.10 | +3.04 | 38th of 530 |
| 2018-19 | MIL | 31 | 81 +15 | 28.7 | +3.01 | +0.33 | +2.67 | 44th of 616 |
| 2017-18 | LAL | 30 | 74 | 23.4 | +0.65 | -0.33 | +0.98 | 213th of 697 |
| 2016-17 | BKN | 29 | 75 | 29.6 | +1.46 | +0.36 | +1.10 | 147th of 774 |
| 2015-16 | BKN | 28 | 73 | 33.6 | +1.26 | +0.10 | +1.15 | 185th of 858 |
| 2014-15 | BKN | 27 | 72 +6 | 29.2 | +1.88 | +0.41 | +1.48 | 134th of 924 |
| 2013-14 | BKN | 26 | 17 | 31.4 | +2.57 | +1.74 | +0.83 | — |
| 2012-13 | BKN | 25 | 74 +7 | 30.4 | +3.07 | +2.24 | +0.83 | 59th of 1077 |
| 2011-12 | BKN | 24 | 5 | 27.2 | -0.45 | +0.10 | -0.55 | — |
| 2010-11 | BKN | 23 | 82 | 35.2 | -0.73 | -0.05 | -0.68 | 474th of 1100 |
| 2009-10 | BKN | 22 | 82 | 36.9 | -0.88 | +0.02 | -0.90 | 384th of 813 |
| 2008-09 | BKN | 21 | 82 | 30.5 | -1.44 | -1.03 | -0.41 | 322nd of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 22.0 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 98.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.8 | 9.8 |
| Rebounds | 9.4 | 4.2 |
| Offensive | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Defensive | 7.2 | 3.3 |
| Assists | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.0 | 3.6 |
| FG attempts | 17.6 | 7.9 |
| FT attempts | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 46.8% · 35.3% · 77.0% | |









