Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.57
- -2.18 before the first game, -1.61 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +1.17
- Jan 11 vs PHI · 30 min
- Biggest drop
- -1.00
- Apr 10 vs NYK · 12 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.33
- Last 11 games, vs 0.42 in the first 11. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.6 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 820th of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jevon Carter, 2018-19.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevon Carter 2018-19 | 23 | -1.9 | +0.9, +0.5, -0.3, +0.4, -0.5 | 92 |
| Langston Galloway 2015-16 | 24 | -1.5 | -1.1, -1.5, -1.1, -0.9, -1.5 | 91 |
| Roger Mason Jr. 2003-04 | 23 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, -1.7, -0.6, -0.5 | 90 |
| Garrett Temple 2010-11 | 24 | -1.6 | under 10 games, -1.0, -1.8, -0.9, -0.3 | 90 |
| Charles Smith 1998-99 | 23 | -1.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Edmond Sumner 2019-20 | 24 | -1.7 | -1.2, under 10 games, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Brodric Thomas 2020-21 | 24 | -1.2 | -0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Ronnie Price 2006-07 | 23 | -1.0 | -0.2, -1.2, -1.5, -1.5, -1.1 | 88 |
| Reggie Geary 1997-98 | 24 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Nicolas Brussino 2016-17 | 24 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Alijah's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Alijah Martin's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $4.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$2.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.7
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 24 | 23 | 6.3 | -1.61 | -1.91 | +0.30 | 820th of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 18.8 projected minutes and a pace of 96.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.6 | 7.4 |
| Rebounds | 5.9 | 2.2 |
| Offensive | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Defensive | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| Assists | 5.4 | 2.0 |
| Steals | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.5 | 3.2 |
| FG attempts | 17.6 | 6.7 |
| FT attempts | 5.2 | 2.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.0% · 30.7% · 76.4% | |
