Aaron Holiday Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: -0.42; -0.34 before the first game, -0.76 before the last game
Biggest boost: +0.41; Mar 29 vs NOP · 25 min
Biggest drop: -0.46; Mar 11 vs DEN · 16 min
Typical change per game: 0.14; Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

-0.8 at age 29 in 2025-26 ranks 462nd of 774 age-29 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Austin Rivers, 2020-21.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Austin Rivers 2020-21	28	-1.0	-1.2, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	90
Raul Neto 2020-21	29	-0.7	-0.8, -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	89
C.J. Watson 2013-14	30	-0.2	+0.3, -1.3, -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games	88
Greg Buckner 2005-06	29	-0.1	-1.0, -2.2, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games	88
Justin Holiday 2018-19	30	-0.6	+0.5, 0.0, -0.9, -2.5, -1.7	87
James Jones 2009-10	29	-0.7	+0.1, -1.0, -1.8, -0.4, -2.3	86
Keith Bogans 2009-10	29	-1.1	+0.2, under 10 games, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games	86
Tony Delk 2002-03	29	-0.3	-0.7, -0.6, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games	86
Solomon Hill 2019-20	29	-1.0	-1.8, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	85
Eddie House 2007-08	30	-1.1	-0.3, -1.5, -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games	85

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Aaron's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Aaron Holiday's seasons, at the same age.

Tyrese Proctor CLE like his 2018-19 90

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Aaron Holiday's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $4.2M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $2.3M; Actual
Surplus: +$1.9M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 0.0; Projected
Retires at: 29.8; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Aaron Holiday, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	HOU	29	57 +6	13.7	-0.76	-0.85	+0.09	462nd of 774
2024-25	HOU	28	62 +3	12.8	-0.29	-0.16	-0.13	427th of 858
2023-24	HOU	27	78	16.3	-0.42	-0.32	-0.10	459th of 924
2022-23	ATL	26	63 +1	13.4	+0.29	-0.28	+0.57	334th of 1010
2021-22	PHX	25	63 +6	16.2	-0.45	-0.36	-0.09	470th of 1078
2020-21	IND	24	66	17.8	-0.85	-0.95	+0.10	580th of 1185
2019-20	IND	23	66 +4	24.5	-1.13	-1.04	-0.09	559th of 1100
2018-19	IND	22	50 +3	12.9	-1.33	-0.67	-0.66	472nd of 813

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 2.9 projected minutes and a pace of 93.8.

Aaron Holiday, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	15.7	0.9
Rebounds	4.4	0.2
Offensive	1.0	0.1
Defensive	3.4	0.2
Assists	3.6	0.2
Steals	1.5	0.1
Blocks	0.4	0.0
Turnovers	2.2	0.1
3-pt attempts	10.4	0.6
FG attempts	14.5	0.8
FT attempts	2.2	0.1
FG% · 3P% · FT%	38.9% · 34.8% · 79.8%