Nikola Jovic
Age 23 · 6'10" · 205 lb
Pick #27, 2022 Draft · Rookie 2023 · 154 games · 16 playoff games
DPM · #335 of 530
-1.3Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -2.23
- +0.91 before the first game, -1.31 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.58
- Dec 27 vs IND · 25 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.38
- Oct 22 vs ORL · 23 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.12
- Last 20 games, vs 0.21 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.3 at age 22 in 2025-26 ranks 468th of 813 age-22 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jarrett Culver, 2020-21.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Culver 2020-21 | 22 | -1.7 | -2.5, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Rashad McCants 2006-07 | 22 | -1.2 | +0.8, 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Justin Anderson 2016-17 | 23 | -1.0 | -1.6, -1.0, -2.0, under 10 games, -1.4 | 84 |
| Omari Spellman 2019-20 | 22 | -1.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Cedi Osman 2017-18 | 23 | -1.0 | -2.0, -2.5, -2.3, -2.1, -0.6 | 83 |
| Khris Middleton 2013-14 | 22 | -0.9 | +2.0, +2.3, +2.8, +2.6, +3.1 | 83 |
| Lauri Markkanen 2019-20 | 22 | -0.8 | -0.5, +0.1, +1.8, +1.9, +0.8 | 83 |
| Rodions Kurucs 2020-21 | 23 | -0.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Dion Waiters 2014-15 | 23 | -1.1 | -0.7, +0.4, -1.2, -1.3, -0.6 | 83 |
| Stanley Johnson 2018-19 | 22 | -2.3 | -1.3, -1.9, -0.8, -0.9, under 10 games | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Nikola's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Nikola Jovic's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $4.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $4.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 23.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIA | 22 | 47 | 17.2 | -1.31 | -1.32 | 0.00 | 468th of 813 |
| 2024-25 | MIA | 21 | 46 +4 | 25.1 | +0.32 | -0.04 | +0.36 | 84th of 571 |
| 2023-24 | MIA | 20 | 46 +5 | 19.5 | +0.22 | -0.56 | +0.78 | 51st of 354 |
| 2022-23 | MIA | 20 | 15 +7 | 13.6 | -1.81 | -1.20 | -0.61 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.4 projected minutes and a pace of 96.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.1 | 9.1 |
| Rebounds | 8.7 | 3.9 |
| Offensive | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Defensive | 7.1 | 3.2 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 2.3 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Turnovers | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.1 | 4.5 |
| FG attempts | 18.7 | 8.4 |
| FT attempts | 5.3 | 2.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.0% · 32.2% · 70.1% | |