Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.00
- -2.30 before the first game, -3.30 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.62
- Jan 30 vs UTA · 16 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.52
- Nov 7 vs DET · 27 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.19
- Last 20 games, vs 0.25 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-3.3 at age 20 in 2025-26 ranks 333rd of 354 age-20 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Daequan Cook, 2007-08.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daequan Cook 2007-08 | 20 | -3.0 | -1.6, -2.3, -0.1, -0.6, -1.8 | 92 |
| Kobi Simmons 2017-18 | 20 | -3.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Kevin Knox II 2019-20 | 20 | -3.8 | -2.1, -1.5, -2.2, -2.5, -1.5 | 87 |
| Anfernee Simons 2019-20 | 21 | -3.2 | -1.3, -1.0, -1.1, -0.8, -1.3 | 87 |
| Ben McLemore 2013-14 | 21 | -2.5 | -0.6, -0.3, -0.9, -2.4, -1.2 | 86 |
| Glenn Robinson III 2014-15 | 21 | -2.6 | -1.7, -0.6, -0.6, -1.5, -0.7 | 86 |
| Sekou Doumbouya 2020-21 | 20 | -2.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Josh Hall 2020-21 | 20 | -3.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Donte Greene 2008-09 | 21 | -2.8 | -1.6, -0.8, +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Dennis Schroder 2013-14 | 20 | -2.9 | -1.3, +0.8, -0.5, -0.5, -0.8 | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Drake's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Drake Powell's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$10.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $3.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$13.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 6.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BKN | 20 | 63 | 20.9 | -3.30 | -1.95 | -1.35 | 333rd of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 29.2 projected minutes and a pace of 95.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.4 | 9.5 |
| Rebounds | 4.4 | 2.6 |
| Offensive | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Defensive | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| Assists | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.8 | 3.9 |
| FG attempts | 14.4 | 8.4 |
| FT attempts | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.1% · 32.9% · 83.3% | |
