Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.12
- -1.39 before the first game, -1.51 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.47
- Dec 5 vs CHI · 38 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.58
- Jan 2 vs SAS · 20 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.10
- Last 20 games, vs 0.16 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.5 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 674th of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Alec Burks, 2014-15.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burks 2014-15 | 23 | -1.5 | -0.9, -1.6, -1.8, -2.0, -0.9 | 88 |
| Zach LaVine 2017-18 | 23 | -1.6 | -0.2, +0.1, +1.4, +0.8, +1.1 | 88 |
| DeMar DeRozan 2012-13 | 23 | -2.0 | -0.5, -0.7, -0.9, -0.9, +0.3 | 87 |
| Michael Beasley 2011-12 | 23 | -1.7 | -3.5, -2.2, -2.4, -2.6, -1.0 | 87 |
| Trey Lyles 2018-19 | 23 | -1.4 | -1.3, -2.3, -1.0, -0.1, +0.5 | 87 |
| Jermaine Taylor 2010-11 | 24 | -1.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Jordan Crawford 2012-13 | 24 | -2.0 | -2.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, -1.5, under 10 games | 86 |
| Jabari Parker 2017-18 | 23 | -1.2 | -0.4, 0.0, +0.1, -0.1, under 10 games | 86 |
| Travis Outlaw 2007-08 | 23 | -1.6 | -1.2, -1.5, -2.3, -2.0, -1.0 | 86 |
| Allonzo Trier 2019-20 | 24 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Bennedict's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Bennedict Mathurin's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $3.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $9.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$5.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.4
- Projected
- Retires at
- 24.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | LAC | 23 | 54 | 30.0 | -1.51 | -0.33 | -1.18 | 674th of 1100 |
| 2024-25 | IND | 23 | 72 +22 | 29.8 | -1.54 | -0.35 | -1.19 | 685th of 1100 |
| 2023-24 | IND | 21 | 60 | 26.1 | -2.99 | -0.97 | -2.02 | 532nd of 571 |
| 2022-23 | IND | 20 | 78 | 28.5 | -3.01 | -1.09 | -1.92 | 322nd of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 20.5 projected minutes and a pace of 94.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25.4 | 10.2 |
| Rebounds | 8.7 | 3.5 |
| Offensive | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 6.8 | 2.7 |
| Assists | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.5 | 2.6 |
| FG attempts | 19.4 | 7.8 |
| FT attempts | 10.0 | 4.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 42.6% · 33.0% · 83.2% | |
