Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.93
- -2.68 before the first game, -1.75 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.31
- Nov 22 vs WAS · 4 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.38
- Nov 24 vs NOP · 2 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.34
- Average size of a game's change this season. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon 2014-15 | 19 | -1.8 | +0.8, +0.3, +0.6, +1.2, +1.0 | 92 |
| Patrick Williams 2020-21 | 19 | -1.9 | -1.8, -0.9, -0.6, -1.6, -3.0 | 91 |
| Eddie Griffin 2001-02 | 19 | -1.7 | -0.6, under 10 games, -0.4, -1.7, -2.9 | 89 |
| CJ Miles 2005-06 | 19 | -1.4 | -2.7, +0.5, -0.6, +0.2, +0.4 | 89 |
| Ersan Ilyasova 2006-07 | 19 | -1.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, +0.2, +0.5, +1.3 | 89 |
| Troy Brown Jr. 2018-19 | 19 | -1.8 | -1.4, -0.5, -0.6, -0.9, -2.0 | 88 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. 2018-19 | 19 | -1.6 | -0.3, -1.2, +0.4, +0.2, +0.7 | 88 |
| Dragan Bender 2016-17 | 19 | -1.7 | -2.5, -1.7, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Marquese Chriss 2016-17 | 19 | -1.0 | -1.8, -3.0, -1.2, under 10 games, -1.7 | 87 |
| Jonathan Bender 1999-00 | 19 | -2.0 | -3.0, -1.9, -1.8, -1.5, under 10 games | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Noa's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Noa Essengue's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $5.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$4.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 5.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 24.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CHI | 19 | 2 | 3.0 | -1.75 | -1.42 | -0.33 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 16.8 projected minutes and a pace of 101.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.1 | 7.5 |
| Rebounds | 11.2 | 4.0 |
| Offensive | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| Defensive | 7.5 | 2.7 |
| Assists | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Turnovers | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 3-pt attempts | 5.9 | 2.1 |
| FG attempts | 18.4 | 6.5 |
| FT attempts | 4.0 | 1.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 48.5% · 27.9% · 68.8% | |
