Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +3.54
- -1.93 before the first game, +1.60 now
- Biggest boost
- +0.91
- Apr 24 vs POR · 30 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.86
- Apr 19 vs POR · 23 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.33
- Last 20 games, vs 0.36 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.3 at age 20 in 2025-26 ranks 17th of 354 age-20 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Brandon Jennings, 2009-10.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings 2009-10 | 20 | +1.1 | +0.3, +0.4, -1.4, -1.1, 0.0 | 88 |
| Larry Hughes 1998-99 | 20 | +1.1 | -1.4, -1.4, -1.0, +0.2, -0.2 | 87 |
| Gilbert Arenas 2001-02 | 20 | +1.4 | +1.1, +0.3, +2.5, +3.9, +4.0 | 86 |
| Jayson Tatum 2017-18 | 20 | +1.4 | +1.6, +3.8, +2.9, +5.2, +4.9 | 86 |
| Lamar Odom 1999-00 | 20 | +0.9 | +1.8, +2.0, 0.0, +1.4, +0.3 | 85 |
| Thaddeus Young 2008-09 | 20 | +1.7 | +0.7, +1.4, +2.1, +1.9, -0.2 | 84 |
| Julian Wright 2007-08 | 20 | +1.0 | 0.0, -0.6, +0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Jrue Holiday 2010-11 | 20 | +1.3 | +1.5, +0.1, +1.0, +2.3, +2.4 | 83 |
| Tracy McGrady 1999-00 | 20 | +0.9 | +3.3, +4.3, +4.7, +4.0, +4.9 | 82 |
| Luol Deng 2004-05 | 19 | +0.3 | +0.8, +2.3, +0.8, +0.2, +1.4 | 81 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Dylan's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Dylan Harper's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $23.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $12.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$10.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 11.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 32.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SAS | 20 | 70 +19 | 22.7 | +1.30 | +1.25 | +0.05 | 17th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 24.6 projected minutes and a pace of 95.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.4 | 10.9 |
| Rebounds | 8.4 | 4.1 |
| Offensive | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Defensive | 6.5 | 3.2 |
| Assists | 5.4 | 2.7 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.2 | 3.1 |
| FG attempts | 17.2 | 8.4 |
| FT attempts | 4.6 | 2.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 49.3% · 34.8% · 78.7% | |
