Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.35
- -0.14 before the first game, +1.21 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.48
- Mar 3 vs DAL · 21 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.27
- Jan 24 vs WAS · 19 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.12
- Last 18 games, vs 0.13 in the first 18. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.2 at age 27 in 2025-26 ranks 188th of 924 age-27 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Kyle Korver, 2008-09.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Korver 2008-09 | 28 | +1.1 | +1.4, +0.6, +1.5, +1.5, +1.3 | 88 |
| Dorian Finney-Smith 2020-21 | 28 | +0.7 | +1.3, +0.4, +0.1, +1.0, -0.8 | 87 |
| Devean George 2003-04 | 26 | +1.1 | +0.2, +0.7, -1.0, -1.4, -2.3 | 87 |
| Mike Muscala 2017-18 | 26 | +0.6 | 0.0, -0.6, -0.1, +1.1, +0.7 | 86 |
| Keith Bogans 2007-08 | 28 | +0.7 | +0.2, -1.1, +0.2, under 10 games, -1.4 | 86 |
| Mickael Pietrus 2008-09 | 27 | +0.6 | 0.0, -1.5, -0.7, -1.2, under 10 games | 85 |
| DeMarre Carroll 2013-14 | 27 | +1.3 | +1.9, +1.4, +1.2, +0.5, -0.1 | 85 |
| Josh McRoberts 2013-14 | 27 | +0.8 | +0.7, 0.0, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Al-Farouq Aminu 2017-18 | 27 | +1.4 | +1.6, +0.5, +0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Scott Padgett 2003-04 | 28 | +0.6 | +1.3, -0.5, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Grant's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Grant Williams's seasons, at the same age.
- Noah Penda ORL like his 2019-20 88
- Johnny Furphy IND like his 2019-20 85
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Grant Williams's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $17.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $13.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$3.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 28.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CHA | 27 | 36 | 19.8 | +1.21 | +0.32 | +0.89 | 188th of 924 |
| 2024-25 | CHA | 26 | 16 | 29.9 | -0.07 | -0.10 | +0.03 | — |
| 2023-24 | CHA | 25 | 76 | 28.0 | -1.39 | -0.82 | -0.57 | 733rd of 1078 |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 24 | 79 +15 | 25.9 | +0.14 | -0.62 | +0.76 | 312th of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | BOS | 23 | 77 +24 | 24.3 | -0.61 | -1.04 | +0.43 | 423rd of 1100 |
| 2020-21 | BOS | 22 | 63 +5 | 18.1 | -1.45 | -2.36 | +0.91 | 498th of 813 |
| 2019-20 | BOS | 21 | 69 +17 | 15.1 | -1.04 | -1.97 | +0.93 | 248th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 10.9 projected minutes and a pace of 94.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.2 | 3.2 |
| Rebounds | 9.3 | 2.0 |
| Offensive | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 6.6 | 1.4 |
| Assists | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Blocks | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.0 | 2.1 |
| FG attempts | 13.0 | 2.8 |
| FT attempts | 3.7 | 0.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 39.7% · 35.8% · 75.8% | |
