Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.57
- -0.47 before the first game, -1.05 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.62
- Apr 10 vs PHX · 4 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.57
- Feb 10 vs SAS · 16 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.20
- Last 20 games, vs 0.18 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.0 at age 25 in 2025-26 ranks 643rd of 1,078 age-25 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Taurean Prince, 2018-19.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taurean Prince 2018-19 | 25 | -0.8 | -0.8, -1.4, -0.7, -1.3, -1.1 | 92 |
| Reggie Williams 2011-12 | 25 | -1.3 | -0.3, under 10 games, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Kyle Kuzma 2019-20 | 25 | -0.6 | -1.3, -2.2, -0.8, -2.0, -3.1 | 90 |
| Justin Anderson 2017-18 | 24 | -1.6 | -1.0, -2.0, under 10 games, -1.4, under 10 games | 90 |
| Rodney Hood 2016-17 | 24 | -0.6 | -1.7, -1.5, -0.8, -2.0, -2.1 | 89 |
| Mickael Gelabale 2007-08 | 24 | -0.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, -0.1 | 89 |
| Anthony Morrow 2010-11 | 25 | -0.7 | -0.5, -2.0, -0.3, +0.3, -0.9 | 89 |
| Damyean Dotson 2018-19 | 24 | -1.6 | -1.6, -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Kelenna Azubuike 2007-08 | 24 | -0.9 | -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Sheldon Mac 2016-17 | 24 | -1.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Dalton's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Dalton Knecht's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $0.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $4.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$3.6M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 25.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | LAL | 25 | 54 +5 | 10.2 | -1.05 | -0.11 | -0.94 | 643rd of 1078 |
| 2024-25 | LAL | 24 | 78 +2 | 19.2 | -0.64 | +0.37 | -1.01 | 516th of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 0.3 projected minutes and a pace of 93.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.0 | 0.1 |
| Rebounds | 7.9 | 0.0 |
| Offensive | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Defensive | 6.5 | 0.0 |
| Assists | 2.8 | 0.0 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 0.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.4 | 0.1 |
| FG attempts | 16.7 | 0.1 |
| FT attempts | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 42.0% · 34.2% · 72.9% | |
