Pelle Larsson
Age 25 · 6'5" · 215 lb
Pick #44, 2024 Draft · Rookie 2025 · 125 games · 4 playoff games
DPM · #237 of 530
-0.5Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.10
- -0.41 before the first game, -0.51 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.61
- Nov 7 vs CHA · 27 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.60
- Nov 23 vs PHI · 32 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.18
- Last 20 games, vs 0.24 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.5 at age 25 in 2025-26 ranks 484th of 1,078 age-25 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jamal Mashburn, 1997-98.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn 1997-98 | 25 | -0.6 | -0.4, +0.7, +0.9, +0.8, +0.9 | 91 |
| Tyler Johnson 2016-17 | 24 | -0.2 | +0.5, -1.0, -2.4, -1.9, under 10 games | 91 |
| Jiri Welsch 2004-05 | 25 | -0.8 | -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Francisco Garcia 2006-07 | 25 | -0.4 | +0.8, -0.5, -0.8, -0.1, -0.9 | 90 |
| Dion Glover 2003-04 | 25 | -0.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Mickael Gelabale 2007-08 | 24 | -0.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, -0.1 | 89 |
| Marquis Daniels 2005-06 | 25 | -0.8 | -1.6, -1.1, -0.6, -1.7, -1.7 | 89 |
| Morris Peterson 2002-03 | 25 | -0.3 | +0.6, +0.8, +0.2, -0.4, +0.1 | 89 |
| Tyrone Nesby 2000-01 | 25 | -0.8 | -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Kirk Snyder 2007-08 | 24 | -0.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Pelle's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Pelle Larsson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $11.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$9.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIA | 25 | 70 | 26.4 | -0.51 | -0.37 | -0.14 | 484th of 1078 |
| 2024-25 | MIA | 24 | 55 +4 | 14.2 | -0.46 | -0.99 | +0.53 | 453rd of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 20.5 projected minutes and a pace of 95.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.1 | 7.7 |
| Rebounds | 6.5 | 2.6 |
| Offensive | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 4.6 | 1.9 |
| Assists | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 4.8 | 1.9 |
| FG attempts | 14.5 | 5.9 |
| FT attempts | 6.8 | 2.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 46.6% · 30.5% · 75.7% | |