Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +2.90
- -3.39 before the first game, -0.49 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.82
- Apr 5 vs LAC · 27 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.65
- Dec 28 vs LAL · 24 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.21
- Last 20 games, vs 0.25 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.5 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 467th of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Samuel Dalembert, 2003-04.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Dalembert 2003-04 | 23 | -0.6 | -0.3, -0.1, -0.1, +0.4, +0.7 | 89 |
| Greg Ostertag 1996-97 | 24 | -0.3 | +1.1, +1.5, +1.9, +0.9, +1.0 | 87 |
| Michael Stewart 1998-99 | 24 | -1.1 | -1.8, -2.2, -1.8, -1.7, -2.0 | 85 |
| Furkan Aldemir 2014-15 | 23 | -0.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Michael Ruffin 2000-01 | 24 | -0.9 | -1.3, under 10 games, -1.3, -2.0, -2.2 | 84 |
| Kyle O'Quinn 2013-14 | 24 | -0.3 | +0.2, -0.7, -0.9, +0.7, -0.5 | 84 |
| Jamal Sampson 2006-07 | 23 | -1.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Jim McIlvaine 1996-97 | 24 | -1.1 | -0.7, -1.2, 0.0, -0.7, under 10 games | 84 |
| Tarik Black 2015-16 | 24 | -0.9 | -0.8, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Omer Asik 2010-11 | 24 | -0.5 | +0.6, +1.4, +0.6, +0.5, -1.4 | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Dylan's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Dylan Cardwell's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $10.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$9.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 5.7
- Projected
- Retires at
- 30.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SAC | 24 | 44 | 20.6 | -0.49 | -1.94 | +1.45 | 467th of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.5 projected minutes and a pace of 98.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 13.1 | 6.0 |
| Rebounds | 15.8 | 7.3 |
| Offensive | 6.6 | 3.0 |
| Defensive | 9.2 | 4.2 |
| Assists | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| Steals | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 4.0 | 1.8 |
| Turnovers | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| FG attempts | 10.5 | 4.8 |
| FT attempts | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 55.9% · 24.0% · 57.6% | |
