Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.86
- +0.74 before the first game, -0.13 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.25
- Nov 21 vs NOP · 25 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.28
- Nov 7 vs MEM · 12 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.11
- Last 20 games, vs 0.13 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.1 at age 27 in 2025-26 ranks 396th of 924 age-27 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Brandan Wright, 2014-15.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandan Wright 2014-15 | 27 | -0.3 | 0.0, -0.6, 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Dan Gadzuric 2005-06 | 28 | -0.3 | -0.7, -1.1, -1.3, -0.8, -1.6 | 87 |
| Marcus Camby 2001-02 | 27 | -0.3 | -1.0, +1.4, +1.8, +1.4, +1.6 | 87 |
| Mason Plumlee 2017-18 | 28 | -0.3 | -0.1, 0.0, +0.5, +1.2, -0.1 | 87 |
| Marcin Gortat 2010-11 | 27 | -0.2 | +0.7, -0.4, +1.4, +1.9, +1.5 | 86 |
| Emeka Okafor 2009-10 | 27 | -0.7 | +0.9, -0.1, +0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Alexis Ajinca 2014-15 | 26 | +0.3 | -0.5, -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Alex Len 2020-21 | 27 | -0.1 | -1.4, -1.0, +1.0, -2.3, under 10 games | 85 |
| Jason Smith 2012-13 | 27 | -0.3 | -1.3, -3.0, -1.7, -1.8, -2.6 | 84 |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas 2001-02 | 26 | +0.4 | +0.4, +0.8, +1.4, +2.2, +1.1 | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Daniel's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Daniel Gafford's seasons, at the same age.
- Yves Missi NOP like his 2019-20 84
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Daniel Gafford's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $12.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $14.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$2.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 27 | 55 | 21.7 | -0.13 | -0.88 | +0.76 | 396th of 924 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 26 | 57 | 21.5 | +0.55 | +0.35 | +0.20 | 286th of 1010 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 25 | 74 +22 | 24.5 | +0.77 | -0.33 | +1.11 | 220th of 1078 |
| 2022-23 | WAS | 24 | 78 | 20.6 | -0.33 | -0.58 | +0.25 | 416th of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | WAS | 23 | 72 | 20.1 | +0.20 | +0.23 | -0.03 | 258th of 1100 |
| 2020-21 | WAS | 22 | 54 +5 | 14.7 | +1.68 | +1.21 | +0.47 | 50th of 813 |
| 2019-20 | CHI | 21 | 43 | 14.2 | -1.04 | -1.92 | +0.89 | 247th of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.1 projected minutes and a pace of 94.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.5 | 9.8 |
| Rebounds | 15.2 | 6.6 |
| Offensive | 5.6 | 2.4 |
| Defensive | 9.7 | 4.2 |
| Assists | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| FG attempts | 15.8 | 6.9 |
| FT attempts | 7.5 | 3.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 61.0% · 18.5% · 63.8% | |
