Jaden Hardy
Age 24 · 6'4" · 198 lb
Pick #37, 2022 Draft · Rookie 2023 · 235 games · 19 playoff games
DPM · #391 of 530
-1.7Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.18
- -1.85 before the first game, -1.66 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.36
- Mar 14 vs BOS · 15 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.32
- Mar 8 vs NOP · 21 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.14
- Last 20 games, vs 0.08 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.7 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 722nd of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Malik Monk, 2020-21.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Monk 2020-21 | 23 | -1.2 | -0.2, -0.4, -1.1, -0.8, -1.2 | 90 |
| JJ Redick 2007-08 | 23 | -1.7 | -1.4, -0.4, -0.5, -0.5, -1.5 | 88 |
| Zach LaVine 2017-18 | 23 | -1.6 | -0.2, +0.1, +1.4, +0.8, +1.1 | 87 |
| Trey Burke 2015-16 | 23 | -1.4 | -3.9, -1.4, -0.3, 0.0, -0.7 | 87 |
| Salim Stoudamire 2006-07 | 24 | -2.2 | -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Brandon Knight 2015-16 | 24 | -1.6 | -3.4, under 10 games, -3.4, -2.3, under 10 games | 86 |
| Isaiah Canaan 2014-15 | 23 | -1.4 | -2.0, -2.4, -1.2, -1.6, under 10 games | 86 |
| Anthony Roberson 2006-07 | 23 | -1.4 | under 10 games, -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Troy Daniels 2014-15 | 23 | -2.0 | -0.6, -1.7, -2.4, -1.9, -1.2 | 85 |
| Allonzo Trier 2019-20 | 24 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jaden's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jaden Hardy's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $6.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$4.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 24.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | WAS | 23 | 57 | 15.8 | -1.66 | +0.03 | -1.69 | 722nd of 1100 |
| 2024-25 | DAL | 22 | 57 | 15.9 | -1.90 | -0.80 | -1.10 | 603rd of 813 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 21 | 73 +19 | 13.5 | -1.59 | -0.25 | -1.34 | 361st of 571 |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 20 | 48 | 14.8 | +0.02 | +0.45 | -0.43 | 60th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 9.6 projected minutes and a pace of 95.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24.5 | 4.7 |
| Rebounds | 4.9 | 0.9 |
| Offensive | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 4.1 | 0.8 |
| Assists | 3.3 | 0.6 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 13.2 | 2.5 |
| FG attempts | 21.1 | 4.0 |
| FT attempts | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.5% · 36.1% · 71.7% | |