Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.85
- -0.66 before the first game, +0.19 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.89
- Mar 9 vs GSW · 20 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.37
- Feb 28 vs NOP · 9 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.20
- Last 13 games, vs 0.28 in the first 13. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.2 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 354th of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Willy Hernangomez, 2020-21.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Hernangomez 2020-21 | 26 | +0.1 | +0.2, -0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Kenny Thomas 2002-03 | 25 | +0.2 | -0.7, -1.2, -0.4, -1.7, -2.8 | 89 |
| Matt Harpring 2001-02 | 25 | -0.1 | +0.9, +0.2, -1.0, -1.1, +0.4 | 87 |
| Tyrone Nesby 2001-02 | 26 | -0.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Khem Birch 2018-19 | 26 | +0.1 | -0.8, -0.1, -0.4, -0.7, under 10 games | 86 |
| Brian Grant 1997-98 | 26 | +0.5 | +1.9, +0.7, -0.3, -0.6, -0.5 | 86 |
| Scott Padgett 2001-02 | 26 | -0.4 | -0.8, +0.6, +1.3, -0.5, -1.0 | 86 |
| Michael Smith 1998-99 | 27 | 0.0 | -0.8, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Craig Smith 2009-10 | 26 | -0.3 | -0.6, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Nick Collison 2006-07 | 26 | -0.3 | -0.3, +0.5, +2.3, +3.0, +3.5 | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Oscar's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Oscar Tshiebwe's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $16.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$14.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | UTA | 26 | 27 | 16.6 | +0.19 | -0.01 | +0.20 | 354th of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | UTA | 25 | 14 | 18.2 | -1.03 | -0.67 | -0.36 | — |
| 2023-24 | IND | 24 | 9 | 4.8 | -2.30 | -1.53 | -0.78 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 2.6 projected minutes and a pace of 95.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.5 | 1.1 |
| Rebounds | 16.7 | 0.9 |
| Offensive | 6.2 | 0.3 |
| Defensive | 10.5 | 0.5 |
| Assists | 2.8 | 0.1 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.5 | 0.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| FG attempts | 16.2 | 0.8 |
| FT attempts | 5.0 | 0.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 57.9% · 18.1% · 62.8% | |
