Jalen Duren
Age 22 · 6'11" · 250 lb
Pick #13, 2022 Draft · Rookie 2023 · 276 games · 20 playoff games
DPM · #43 of 530
+2.0Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.00
- +0.99 before the first game, +1.98 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.64
- Jan 29 vs PHX · 28 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.52
- Dec 18 vs DAL · 34 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.12
- Last 20 games, vs 0.15 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+2.0 at age 22 in 2025-26 ranks 43rd of 813 age-22 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Bam Adebayo, 2019-20.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo 2019-20 | 23 | +1.9 | +1.9, +3.0, +2.0, +1.9, +1.6 | 88 |
| Deandre Ayton 2020-21 | 22 | +2.0 | +2.5, +0.8, -0.2, -0.8, +0.2 | 87 |
| Andris Biedrins 2007-08 | 22 | +1.7 | +1.9, +0.5, -1.3, -1.3, -0.9 | 86 |
| Luol Deng 2006-07 | 22 | +2.3 | +0.8, +0.2, +1.4, +2.7, +2.6 | 84 |
| Amir Johnson 2009-10 | 22 | +2.5 | +2.3, +2.8, +3.9, +3.2, +1.6 | 84 |
| Chris Bosh 2006-07 | 23 | +2.9 | +4.4, +2.9, +3.8, +3.0, +2.7 | 84 |
| Kevin Garnett 1997-98 | 21 | +2.4 | +2.6, +5.1, +5.1, +5.8, +8.2 | 83 |
| Clint Capela 2016-17 | 22 | +1.1 | +1.8, +1.2, +0.7, +2.3, +1.9 | 83 |
| Josh Smith 2007-08 | 22 | +2.0 | +2.1, +2.8, +2.7, +3.5, +2.9 | 83 |
| Dwight Howard 2007-08 | 22 | +2.6 | +3.4, +4.6, +4.1, +4.0, +2.4 | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jalen's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jalen Duren's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $33.7M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $6.5M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$27.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 8.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 31.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DET | 22 | 70 +14 | 28.2 | +1.98 | +1.00 | +0.98 | 43rd of 813 |
| 2024-25 | DET | 21 | 78 +6 | 26.1 | +1.09 | +0.09 | +1.00 | 45th of 571 |
| 2023-24 | DET | 20 | 61 | 29.1 | -1.52 | -1.07 | -0.45 | 184th of 354 |
| 2022-23 | DET | 19 | 67 | 24.9 | -0.84 | -0.26 | -0.58 | 32nd of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 20.4 projected minutes and a pace of 94.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.8 | 9.1 |
| Rebounds | 16.8 | 6.7 |
| Offensive | 5.8 | 2.3 |
| Defensive | 11.0 | 4.4 |
| Assists | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Turnovers | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| FG attempts | 16.4 | 6.5 |
| FT attempts | 8.3 | 3.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 63.1% · 17.8% · 67.9% | |