Dru Smith
Age 28 · 6'3" · 203 lb
Rookie 2023 · 108 games
DPM · #274 of 530
-0.8Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.16
- -0.62 before the first game, -0.77 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.98
- Nov 17 vs NYK · 16 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.92
- Nov 3 vs LAC · 14 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.10
- Last 20 games, vs 0.37 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.8 at age 28 in 2025-26 ranks 519th of 858 age-28 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Ronnie Price, 2011-12.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Price 2011-12 | 28 | -1.1 | -1.3, -1.2, -0.5, -0.7, -1.1 | 88 |
| Marko Jaric 2006-07 | 28 | -1.0 | -1.2, -0.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Luke Ridnour 2008-09 | 28 | -0.8 | -0.6, -0.3, -0.8, -1.4, -2.9 | 85 |
| DeAndre Liggins 2016-17 | 29 | -1.2 | -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Jason Hart 2006-07 | 28 | -1.4 | -2.4, -3.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| T.J. Ford 2010-11 | 28 | -0.9 | -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Delon Wright 2019-20 | 28 | -0.6 | +0.1, +0.8, +0.8, -0.1, -0.6 | 84 |
| Laron Profit 2004-05 | 27 | -0.8 | -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Brooks Thompson 1997-98 | 27 | -0.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Delonte West 2011-12 | 28 | -1.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Dru's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Dru Smith's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $7.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$4.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 28.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIA | 28 | 70 | 16.3 | -0.77 | -1.33 | +0.56 | 519th of 858 |
| 2024-25 | MIA | 27 | 14 | 19.2 | -1.14 | -1.68 | +0.53 | — |
| 2023-24 | MIA | 26 | 9 | 14.5 | -0.90 | -1.16 | +0.26 | — |
| 2022-23 | BKN | 25 | 15 | 10.6 | -1.84 | -2.02 | +0.18 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.2 projected minutes and a pace of 95.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.9 | 7.5 |
| Rebounds | 7.0 | 3.1 |
| Offensive | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| Defensive | 4.7 | 2.1 |
| Assists | 7.2 | 3.2 |
| Steals | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| Blocks | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 5.1 | 2.2 |
| FG attempts | 14.5 | 6.4 |
| FT attempts | 4.3 | 1.9 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.8% · 31.5% · 78.7% | |