Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.70
- -2.42 before the first game, -3.13 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.71
- Nov 21 vs GSW · 38 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.46
- Nov 26 vs SAS · 12 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.10
- Last 20 games, vs 0.18 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-3.1 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 1133rd of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Bobby Brown, 2008-09.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Brown 2008-09 | 24 | -2.6 | -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Bryn Forbes 2016-17 | 23 | -2.9 | -2.1, -0.9, -1.6, -1.1, -1.6 | 86 |
| Nolan Smith 2012-13 | 24 | -2.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Chris Carr 1998-99 | 25 | -2.9 | -3.2, -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Sherron Collins 2010-11 | 23 | -2.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| A.J. Guyton 2001-02 | 24 | -2.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Jeff McInnis 1998-99 | 24 | -3.0 | -2.8, -1.1, -1.2, -3.4, -1.1 | 83 |
| Dan Dickau 2002-03 | 24 | -2.5 | -1.8, -1.1, -1.0, -0.2, -0.6 | 83 |
| Bryce Drew 1998-99 | 24 | -2.5 | -1.8, -1.8, -0.5, -1.0, -1.4 | 83 |
| Doug McDermott 2015-16 | 24 | -2.7 | -2.4, -1.0, -0.7, -0.5, -0.5 | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Caleb's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Caleb Love's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$7.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$8.7M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 3.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 28.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | POR | 24 | 49 | 20.7 | -3.13 | -1.29 | -1.84 | 1133rd of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 8.4 projected minutes and a pace of 98.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 25.8 | 4.4 |
| Rebounds | 5.2 | 0.9 |
| Offensive | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 4.2 | 0.7 |
| Assists | 5.8 | 1.0 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 13.8 | 2.4 |
| FG attempts | 23.1 | 4.0 |
| FT attempts | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 42.7% · 32.7% · 74.1% | |
