Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.63
- +0.99 before the first game, -0.65 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.09
- Jan 23 vs CLE · 31 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.26
- Nov 9 vs MIN · 30 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.08
- Last 9 games, vs 0.11 in the first 9. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Boozer 2010-11 | 29 | -0.7 | -1.1, -2.6, -3.1, -3.3, under 10 games | 84 |
| Trevor Booker 2016-17 | 29 | -1.2 | -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| Al Jefferson 2014-15 | 30 | -0.1 | -1.3, -2.0, -1.9, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
| David West 2009-10 | 29 | -0.2 | +0.9, +1.2, +1.7, +0.9, +0.3 | 80 |
| David Lee 2012-13 | 30 | -0.5 | +0.5, +0.1, -1.7, +1.1, under 10 games | 80 |
| Luis Scola 2009-10 | 29 | -0.1 | +0.5, -0.4, -0.6, -2.8, -1.5 | 78 |
| Nikola Vucevic 2020-21 | 30 | +0.5 | -0.8, -0.7, -2.0, -2.0, -1.2 | 77 |
| Troy Murphy 2009-10 | 29 | -1.3 | -2.9, -1.9, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games | 76 |
| Donyell Marshall 2002-03 | 29 | -1.3 | -0.6, -0.1, -0.8, -1.1, -1.8 | 76 |
| Michael Beasley 2018-19 | 30 | -1.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 76 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Domantas's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Domantas Sabonis's seasons, at the same age.
- Yang Hansen POR like his 2016-17 91
- Day'Ron Sharpe BKN like his 2019-20 86
- Jalen Johnson ATL like his 2020-21 86
- Alperen Sengun HOU like his 2019-20 79
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Domantas Sabonis's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $7.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $42.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$35.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.4
- Projected
- Retires at
- 30.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SAC | 29 | 19 | 29.7 | -0.65 | -0.15 | -0.49 | — |
| 2024-25 | SAC | 28 | 70 | 34.7 | +1.12 | +0.88 | +0.24 | 190th of 858 |
| 2023-24 | SAC | 27 | 82 | 35.7 | +1.50 | +1.16 | +0.34 | 159th of 924 |
| 2022-23 | SAC | 26 | 79 +7 | 34.6 | +0.69 | +0.67 | +0.02 | 262nd of 1010 |
| 2021-22 | SAC | 25 | 62 | 34.4 | +0.62 | +0.53 | +0.09 | 240th of 1078 |
| 2020-21 | IND | 25 | 62 | 36.0 | +1.23 | +0.65 | +0.57 | 162nd of 1078 |
| 2019-20 | IND | 24 | 62 | 34.8 | +1.02 | +0.17 | +0.85 | 173rd of 1185 |
| 2018-19 | IND | 22 | 74 +4 | 24.8 | +0.57 | -0.06 | +0.63 | 138th of 813 |
| 2017-18 | IND | 21 | 74 +7 | 24.5 | -1.03 | -0.90 | -0.14 | 246th of 571 |
| 2016-17 | OKC | 20 | 81 +2 | 20.1 | -2.71 | -2.93 | +0.22 | 302nd of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 20.5 projected minutes and a pace of 94.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.6 | 9.5 |
| Rebounds | 18.2 | 7.4 |
| Offensive | 5.4 | 2.2 |
| Defensive | 12.9 | 5.2 |
| Assists | 7.0 | 2.8 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.9 | 1.6 |
| 3-pt attempts | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| FG attempts | 19.0 | 7.7 |
| FT attempts | 6.0 | 2.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 52.8% · 29.9% · 69.8% | |
