Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.20
- -1.03 before the first game, -2.23 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.36
- Feb 9 vs CHI · 32 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.30
- Feb 3 vs LAL · 22 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.12
- Last 20 games, vs 0.12 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.2 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 903rd of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Chris Wilcox, 2008-09.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Wilcox 2008-09 | 26 | -2.4 | -2.6, -0.5, -0.6, -1.1, under 10 games | 88 |
| Bryant Reeves 1999-00 | 26 | -2.1 | -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Stromile Swift 2006-07 | 27 | -2.1 | -1.8, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Drew Gooden 2007-08 | 26 | -1.7 | -2.5, -2.2, -1.3, -2.0, -2.9 | 86 |
| Tyrus Thomas 2012-13 | 26 | -2.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Tyler Zeller 2015-16 | 26 | -1.8 | -1.5, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Donatas Motiejunas 2016-17 | 26 | -1.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Melvin Ely 2004-05 | 26 | -2.2 | -1.4, -2.3, -2.1, -3.2, under 10 games | 84 |
| Jerome Moiso 2004-05 | 26 | -2.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Donyell Marshall 1999-00 | 26 | -1.6 | +1.6, -1.3, -1.3, -0.6, -0.1 | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Nicolas's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Nicolas Claxton's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$1.7M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $25.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$27.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 27.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BKN | 26 | 69 | 27.8 | -2.23 | -2.03 | -0.20 | 903rd of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | BKN | 25 | 70 | 26.9 | -1.38 | -1.84 | +0.46 | 730th of 1078 |
| 2023-24 | BKN | 24 | 71 | 29.8 | +0.58 | -0.52 | +1.11 | 236th of 1185 |
| 2022-23 | BKN | 24 | 76 +4 | 29.9 | +2.02 | +0.46 | +1.57 | 87th of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | BKN | 23 | 47 +4 | 20.7 | +0.97 | +0.06 | +0.90 | 155th of 1100 |
| 2020-21 | BKN | 22 | 32 +12 | 18.6 | +0.14 | -1.08 | +1.22 | 193rd of 813 |
| 2019-20 | BKN | 20 | 15 | 12.5 | -0.86 | -1.17 | +0.31 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 24.4 projected minutes and a pace of 94.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.7 | 9.9 |
| Rebounds | 13.1 | 6.3 |
| Offensive | 4.5 | 2.2 |
| Defensive | 8.6 | 4.1 |
| Assists | 5.4 | 2.6 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| FG attempts | 17.5 | 8.4 |
| FT attempts | 6.4 | 3.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 54.8% · 27.2% · 53.1% | |
