Rayan Rupert
Age 22 · 6'6" · 185 lb
Pick #43, 2023 Draft · Rookie 2024 · 155 games
DPM · #501 of 530
-2.9Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.43
- -2.43 before the first game, -2.85 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.59
- Mar 9 vs BKN · 36 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.51
- Mar 4 vs POR · 32 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.27
- Last 20 games, vs 0.19 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.9 at age 21 in 2025-26 ranks 526th of 571 age-21 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Lance Stephenson, 2011-12.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Stephenson 2011-12 | 21 | -3.0 | +0.7, +0.6, -2.9, -1.6, -1.6 | 92 |
| Hamidou Diallo 2019-20 | 22 | -2.8 | -2.5, -1.0, -0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Will Barton 2012-13 | 22 | -3.0 | -2.7, -1.1, -1.3, -1.9, -0.5 | 89 |
| Jacob Evans 2018-19 | 21 | -2.6 | -3.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| DaJuan Summers 2009-10 | 22 | -2.6 | -3.4, -2.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Glenn Robinson III 2014-15 | 21 | -2.6 | -1.7, -0.6, -0.6, -1.5, -0.7 | 88 |
| Cassius Stanley 2020-21 | 21 | -2.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Anthony Bennett 2014-15 | 22 | -2.7 | -2.3, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Nick Johnson 2014-15 | 22 | -2.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Donte Greene 2008-09 | 21 | -2.8 | -1.6, -0.8, +0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Rayan's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Rayan Rupert's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$7.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$9.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 22.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MEM | 21 | 64 | 16.8 | -2.85 | -2.15 | -0.70 | 526th of 571 |
| 2024-25 | POR | 20 | 52 | 8.8 | -3.23 | -2.42 | -0.81 | 332nd of 354 |
| 2023-24 | POR | 19 | 39 | 16.2 | -2.71 | -2.26 | -0.46 | 90th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 16.5 projected minutes and a pace of 95.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.8 | 5.5 |
| Rebounds | 8.4 | 2.8 |
| Offensive | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 6.5 | 2.1 |
| Assists | 3.4 | 1.1 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.6 | 2.2 |
| FG attempts | 15.8 | 5.2 |
| FT attempts | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 39.0% · 32.1% · 77.6% | |