Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +2.58
- -2.43 before the first game, +0.16 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.68
- Feb 21 vs MEM · 23 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.60
- Feb 11 vs NOP · 25 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.24
- Last 20 games, vs 0.20 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.2 at age 19 in 2025-26 ranks 11th of 109 age-19 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Dante Exum, 2014-15.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Exum 2014-15 | 19 | -0.6 | under 10 games, -1.0, -1.8, -1.7, -1.5 | 85 |
| Jordan Farmar 2006-07 | 20 | -0.7 | -0.2, -1.9, -1.2, -0.9, -1.7 | 83 |
| Lonzo Ball 2017-18 | 20 | +0.4 | -0.7, +0.1, +0.1, +0.5, under 10 games | 82 |
| Josh Okogie 2018-19 | 20 | -0.4 | -0.2, 0.0, +0.3, +1.4, +0.5 | 81 |
| Tyus Jones 2015-16 | 19 | -0.7 | -0.9, +0.9, +0.1, +0.2, -1.7 | 80 |
| Tony Parker 2001-02 | 19 | -0.3 | +0.3, +0.8, +1.2, +1.7, +1.8 | 80 |
| Malik Beasley 2016-17 | 20 | -0.6 | -1.0, 0.0, -0.8, -0.8, -0.2 | 79 |
| Jrue Holiday 2009-10 | 19 | -0.6 | +1.3, +1.5, +0.1, +1.0, +2.3 | 79 |
| Rashad Vaughn 2015-16 | 19 | -0.9 | -1.9, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Bradley Beal 2012-13 | 19 | -0.4 | +0.1, +0.2, -0.1, +2.4, +2.2 | 78 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Kasparas's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Kasparas Jakučionis's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $12.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $3.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$9.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 9.8
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIA | 19 | 53 | 17.8 | +0.16 | -0.22 | +0.38 | 11th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 15.1 projected minutes and a pace of 99.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.3 | 4.8 |
| Rebounds | 5.9 | 1.9 |
| Offensive | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Assists | 6.4 | 2.0 |
| Steals | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.3 | 2.6 |
| FG attempts | 11.6 | 3.7 |
| FT attempts | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.2% · 37.6% · 82.9% | |
