Tolu Smith
Age 25 · 6'11" · 254 lb
Rookie 2025 · 16 games · 3 playoff games
DPM · #259 of 530
-0.7Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.65
- -2.31 before the first game, -0.67 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +1.85
- Oct 27 vs CLE · 6 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.35
- Feb 19 vs NYK · 18 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.39
- Last 8 games, vs 0.46 in the first 8. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Anstey 1999-00 | 25 | -0.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| JaMychal Green 2015-16 | 25 | -0.7 | +0.7, -0.7, -0.1, -0.8, 0.0 | 88 |
| Mikki Moore 2001-02 | 26 | -0.7 | under 10 games, -0.9, -1.2, -1.8, +1.2 | 88 |
| Jeff Withey 2014-15 | 25 | -0.5 | -0.4, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Todd MacCulloch 2000-01 | 25 | -0.1 | -0.6, -0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Gorgui Dieng 2014-15 | 25 | -0.4 | +0.4, +1.4, -1.3, -0.3, -0.2 | 86 |
| Viacheslav Kravtsov 2013-14 | 26 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Tyler Zeller 2014-15 | 25 | -1.0 | -1.8, -1.5, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Khem Birch 2017-18 | 25 | -0.9 | +0.1, -0.8, -0.1, -0.4, -0.7 | 86 |
| Miroslav Raduljica 2013-14 | 26 | -1.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Tolu's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Tolu Smith's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$0.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DET | 25 | 15 +3 | 9.2 | -0.67 | -1.04 | +0.38 | — |
| 2024-25 | DET | 24 | 1 | 22.4 | -2.61 | -2.24 | -0.37 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections. It projects no minutes for Tolu Smith right now, so there is no per-game line.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.8 | — |
| Rebounds | 14.5 | — |
| Offensive | 5.6 | — |
| Defensive | 8.9 | — |
| Assists | 2.8 | — |
| Steals | 1.3 | — |
| Blocks | 2.0 | — |
| Turnovers | 2.5 | — |
| 3-pt attempts | 2.0 | — |
| FG attempts | 12.7 | — |
| FT attempts | 5.1 | — |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 49.2% · 21.8% · 62.1% | |