Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.05
- -1.57 before the first game, -1.52 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.22
- Mar 8 vs SAC · 21 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.30
- Feb 21 vs DET · 19 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.10
- Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.5 at age 28 in 2025-26 ranks 659th of 858 age-28 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jamaal Magloire, 2005-06.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaal Magloire 2005-06 | 27 | -1.3 | -2.2, -1.9, -0.5, -0.9, -1.9 | 89 |
| Timofey Mozgov 2013-14 | 27 | -1.2 | +0.6, -1.2, -2.4, -2.6, under 10 games | 89 |
| Chris Kaman 2009-10 | 27 | -1.3 | -1.4, -1.0, -2.2, -1.3, -2.3 | 88 |
| Lorenzen Wright 2003-04 | 28 | -1.4 | -0.7, +0.2, -1.6, -1.9, -3.0 | 88 |
| Kris Humphries 2012-13 | 28 | -2.0 | -1.8, -2.1, -1.1, -2.2, under 10 games | 87 |
| Bryant Reeves 2000-01 | 27 | -1.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Steven Hunter 2009-10 | 28 | -1.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Stromile Swift 2007-08 | 28 | -1.8 | -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Etan Thomas 2006-07 | 29 | -1.3 | under 10 games, -2.5, -3.0, -3.5, under 10 games | 86 |
| Jeff Ayres 2014-15 | 28 | -1.7 | -3.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Nick's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Nick Richards's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $2.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $5.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$2.5M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 28.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CHI | 28 | 47 | 14.9 | -1.52 | -2.10 | +0.58 | 659th of 858 |
| 2024-25 | PHX | 27 | 57 | 22.0 | -1.75 | -1.46 | -0.29 | 760th of 924 |
| 2023-24 | CHA | 26 | 67 | 26.2 | -0.69 | -1.27 | +0.58 | 551st of 1010 |
| 2022-23 | CHA | 25 | 65 | 18.7 | -1.06 | -1.29 | +0.24 | 645th of 1078 |
| 2021-22 | CHA | 24 | 50 | 7.3 | -1.90 | -1.75 | -0.15 | 913th of 1185 |
| 2020-21 | CHA | 23 | 18 | 3.5 | -1.77 | -2.14 | +0.38 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 17.8 projected minutes and a pace of 95.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.4 | 7.2 |
| Rebounds | 16.4 | 5.8 |
| Offensive | 5.2 | 1.8 |
| Defensive | 11.2 | 3.9 |
| Assists | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Steals | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Blocks | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Turnovers | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| FG attempts | 15.4 | 5.4 |
| FT attempts | 6.6 | 2.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 53.6% · 27.1% · 66.5% | |
