Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.07
- -1.23 before the first game, -0.16 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.59
- Nov 29 vs BKN · 23 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.29
- Dec 29 vs CHA · 27 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.12
- Last 20 games, vs 0.12 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.2 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 433rd of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Reggie Bullock, 2017-18.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bullock 2017-18 | 27 | -0.1 | -0.3, -1.5, -0.1, +0.7, -1.1 | 90 |
| Allen Crabbe 2017-18 | 26 | -0.1 | +0.2, -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Danuel House Jr. 2019-20 | 27 | -0.2 | -1.5, -0.1, -1.8, -2.2, under 10 games | 88 |
| Terrence Ross 2016-17 | 26 | -0.3 | +0.1, +0.2, 0.0, -1.5, -3.5 | 88 |
| Kendrick Nunn 2020-21 | 25 | -0.4 | under 10 games, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Reggie Williams 2012-13 | 26 | -0.3 | under 10 games, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Bostjan Nachbar 2006-07 | 26 | -0.1 | -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Evan Fournier 2018-19 | 26 | -0.2 | +0.1, +0.3, -0.9, -1.5, -2.4 | 85 |
| Quincy Pondexter 2014-15 | 27 | -0.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, -2.6, -1.1, under 10 games | 85 |
| Norman Powell 2018-19 | 26 | -0.7 | +0.7, +0.6, -0.2, -1.6, -0.7 | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to A.J.'s 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against A.J. Green's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $14.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$11.8M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIL | 26 | 78 | 29.1 | -0.16 | +0.25 | -0.41 | 433rd of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | MIL | 25 | 74 +5 | 22.8 | -1.22 | -1.07 | -0.15 | 689th of 1078 |
| 2023-24 | MIL | 24 | 56 +6 | 11.0 | -1.40 | -0.44 | -0.96 | 744th of 1185 |
| 2022-23 | MIL | 23 | 35 | 9.9 | -1.96 | -0.75 | -1.20 | 812th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.8 projected minutes and a pace of 94.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 17.6 | 7.9 |
| Rebounds | 5.0 | 2.3 |
| Offensive | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 4.3 | 1.9 |
| Assists | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| Steals | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 13.2 | 5.9 |
| FG attempts | 15.1 | 6.8 |
| FT attempts | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 38.2% · 39.8% · 83.4% | |
