Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.88
- +0.71 before the first game, +1.58 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +1.26
- Mar 12 vs ATL · 24 min
- Biggest drop
- -1.18
- Oct 22 vs PHI · 14 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.29
- Last 20 games, vs 0.35 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+1.6 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 100th of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: OG Anunoby, 2020-21.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OG Anunoby 2020-21 | 23 | +1.4 | +1.0, +1.8, +2.8, +2.2, +3.6 | 90 |
| Trevor Ariza 2008-09 | 23 | +1.5 | +0.6, +0.8, -0.3, 0.0, +2.0 | 86 |
| Mikal Bridges 2019-20 | 23 | +1.7 | +1.8, +1.2, +0.8, 0.0, -0.3 | 86 |
| Maurice Harkless 2015-16 | 23 | +0.9 | +0.9, +1.5, +1.9, -0.3, -0.4 | 84 |
| Aaron Gordon 2018-19 | 23 | +1.2 | +1.0, +0.3, +0.8, +2.6, +2.1 | 84 |
| Otto Porter Jr. 2016-17 | 23 | +2.2 | +3.0, +2.0, +1.8, +1.1, +2.8 | 84 |
| Ryan Anderson 2010-11 | 22 | +1.2 | +1.9, +0.9, +1.6, -0.1, +1.2 | 83 |
| Victor Oladipo 2015-16 | 23 | +1.7 | +1.1, +4.6, +3.8, +2.2, -0.4 | 83 |
| Tayshaun Prince 2002-03 | 23 | +1.1 | +1.2, +2.0, +1.9, +2.6, +2.7 | 83 |
| Jared Dudley 2008-09 | 23 | +1.1 | +1.9, +1.6, +1.7, +1.2, +0.6 | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Josh's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Josh Minott's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $23.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$21.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.8
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BKN | 23 | 49 | 17.0 | +1.58 | +0.57 | +1.01 | 100th of 1100 |
| 2024-25 | MIN | 22 | 46 +5 | 6.0 | +1.17 | -0.08 | +1.25 | 81st of 813 |
| 2023-24 | MIN | 21 | 32 +5 | 2.9 | -0.94 | -1.00 | +0.06 | 237th of 571 |
| 2022-23 | MIN | 20 | 15 +1 | 6.4 | -0.92 | -1.07 | +0.14 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 20.9 projected minutes and a pace of 94.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22.3 | 9.2 |
| Rebounds | 8.6 | 3.6 |
| Offensive | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Defensive | 6.4 | 2.6 |
| Assists | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Steals | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Blocks | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 12.0 | 4.9 |
| FG attempts | 18.5 | 7.6 |
| FT attempts | 4.6 | 1.9 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.3% · 35.2% · 79.0% | |
