Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.16
- -0.85 before the first game, -0.69 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.77
- Jan 6 vs MIA · 5 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.72
- Oct 27 vs DEN · 3 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.16
- Last 20 games, vs 0.34 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.7 at age 22 in 2025-26 ranks 337th of 813 age-22 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Lauri Markkanen, 2019-20.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen 2019-20 | 22 | -0.8 | -0.5, +0.1, +1.8, +1.9, +0.8 | 91 |
| Tobias Harris 2014-15 | 22 | -0.8 | +0.3, -0.2, -0.4, +0.4, +0.6 | 91 |
| Austin Daye 2010-11 | 22 | -1.1 | -2.6, -1.9, -1.8, -2.4, under 10 games | 91 |
| Jabari Parker 2017-18 | 23 | -1.2 | -0.4, 0.0, +0.1, -0.1, under 10 games | 90 |
| Trey Lyles 2017-18 | 22 | -0.6 | -1.4, -1.3, -2.3, -1.0, -0.1 | 90 |
| Omri Casspi 2010-11 | 22 | -0.4 | -1.9, -1.1, -0.3, -1.1, +0.1 | 89 |
| Jared Sullinger 2013-14 | 22 | -0.2 | -0.3, 0.0, -0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Charlie Villanueva 2006-07 | 22 | -0.2 | -1.7, -0.3, -2.3, -1.6, -1.9 | 88 |
| Wilson Chandler 2009-10 | 22 | -0.8 | +0.8, under 10 games, +0.7, -0.9, -1.0 | 88 |
| Thomas Bryant 2018-19 | 21 | -0.4 | +0.5, +0.3, -0.8, -1.6, -0.4 | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Leonard's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Leonard Miller's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $11.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$9.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 22.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CHI | 22 | 46 | 15.6 | -0.69 | -0.30 | -0.39 | 337th of 813 |
| 2024-25 | MIN | 21 | 13 +3 | 2.4 | -1.11 | +0.07 | -1.17 | — |
| 2023-24 | MIN | 20 | 17 +3 | 3.1 | -0.91 | -0.86 | -0.05 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 8.9 projected minutes and a pace of 96.0.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.8 | 3.7 |
| Rebounds | 11.4 | 2.0 |
| Offensive | 3.3 | 0.6 |
| Defensive | 8.1 | 1.4 |
| Assists | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Blocks | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| 3-pt attempts | 7.0 | 1.2 |
| FG attempts | 15.8 | 2.8 |
| FT attempts | 3.8 | 0.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 51.0% · 32.6% · 75.0% | |
