Moritz Wagner
Age 29 · 6'11" · 245 lb · Germany
Pick #25, 2018 Draft · Rookie 2019 · 410 games · 9 playoff games
DPM · #401 of 523
-1.9Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green 2015-16 | 29 | -2.0 | -3.5, -0.9, -1.0, -1.2, -0.9 | 87 |
| Mike Scott 2017-18 | 29 | -1.6 | -1.6, -0.3, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Omri Casspi 2017-18 | 29 | -1.6 | 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Marreese Speights 2016-17 | 29 | -2.1 | -0.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Juwan Howard 2001-02 | 29 | -1.9 | -2.8, -1.8, -2.1, -3.4, -3.0 | 85 |
| Andrea Bargnani 2014-15 | 29 | -2.2 | -4.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Tristan Thompson 2019-20 | 28 | -1.7 | -0.5, -0.5, under 10 games, -1.2, -3.8 | 84 |
| Donyell Marshall 2002-03 | 29 | -1.3 | -1.0, -0.3, -0.2, +0.3, -0.6 | 84 |
| Carl Landry 2012-13 | 29 | -1.4 | -2.5, -3.3, -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Austin Croshere 2004-05 | 30 | -1.1 | -0.4, -2.0, -1.6, -2.6, under 10 games | 84 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Moritz's 2026-27 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Around the league
Top 10 comps today
Current players closest to Moritz Wagner's current profile, by DARKO ratings, age and projected box-score style.
- -1.9DPMDPM Offense -1.0 Defense -0.9 Per 100 possessions:26.1points11.1rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A100.0
- -1.8DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense -1.1 Per 100 possessions:22.5points7.2rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A87.3
- -2.0DPMDPM Offense -1.2 Defense -0.7 Per 100 possessions:20.0points8.1rebounds2.5assistsP/R/A85.7
- -1.4DPMDPM Offense -0.5 Defense -0.8 Per 100 possessions:23.6points7.0rebounds6.8assistsP/R/A84.9
- -1.3DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense -0.2 Per 100 possessions:21.6points10.5rebounds2.5assistsP/R/A84.0
- -1.5DPMDPM Offense -1.1 Defense -0.4 Per 100 possessions:19.5points10.9rebounds4.2assistsP/R/A83.5
- -2.1DPMDPM Offense -0.7 Defense -1.4 Per 100 possessions:23.6points6.1rebounds5.1assistsP/R/A83.2
- -1.4DPMDPM Offense -0.4 Defense -1.0 Per 100 possessions:18.2points9.7rebounds3.6assistsP/R/A83.1
- -1.2DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense -0.6 Per 100 possessions:22.2points12.8rebounds3.7assistsP/R/A82.9
- -1.2DPMDPM Offense -0.6 Defense -0.5 Per 100 possessions:25.0points15.2rebounds2.8assistsP/R/A82.0
How these matches work
Each player's latest published profile is compared with today's league. The score uses standardized differences in DPM, offense, defense, age, scoring, assists, rebounds, blocks, steals, turnovers, three-point shot share and free-throw rate. DPM and age carry the most weight. Historical trajectory and a same-age cutoff are not used here.
100 is an identical profile, so a current player is his own first match. Scores fall by 8 points per unit of weighted distance, down to zero. This is a similarity index, not a probability. Box-score figures are projections per 100 possessions, so playing time does not distort the comparison.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Moritz Wagner's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $0.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $9.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$8.7M
- Value minus salary
- WARP
- 0.1
- Wins above replacement
- Seasons left
- 2.2
- Projected, within 15
- Retires at
- 32.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 so far | BKN | 29 | 11 | 18.3 | -1.93 | -1.09 | -0.85 | — |
| 2025-26 | ORL | 29 | 36 +2 | 11.8 | -1.22 | -0.53 | -0.69 | 552nd of 774 |
| 2024-25 | ORL | 28 | 30 | 18.8 | -0.07 | -0.66 | +0.60 | 387th of 858 |
| 2023-24 | ORL | 27 | 80 +7 | 17.7 | +0.44 | +0.12 | +0.32 | 317th of 924 |
| 2022-23 | ORL | 25 | 57 | 19.5 | -0.21 | -0.28 | +0.07 | 443rd of 1077 |
| 2021-22 | ORL | 24 | 63 | 15.2 | -0.62 | +0.01 | -0.63 | 555th of 1185 |
| 2020-21 | ORL | 24 | 45 | 16.0 | -0.85 | -0.94 | +0.10 | 622nd of 1185 |
| 2019-20 | WAS | 23 | 45 | 18.6 | -0.62 | -0.81 | +0.19 | 461st of 1100 |
| 2018-19 | LAL | 21 | 43 | 10.4 | -0.87 | -1.08 | +0.21 | 231st of 571 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's rest-of-season projections per 100 possessions, and per game at 13.5 projected minutes when he plays and a pace of 97.4.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 26.1 | 7.1 |
| Rebounds | 11.1 | 3.0 |
| Offensive | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| Defensive | 8.0 | 2.2 |
| Assists | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Steals | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.6 | 1.8 |
| FG attempts | 18.0 | 4.9 |
| FT attempts | 6.9 | 1.9 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 50.5% · 34.6% · 78.4% | |